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Wednesday, 13 May 09
COAL SUPPLY MAY BE VASTLY OVERESTIMATED - ABC SCIENCE
The world's coal supply suggests reserves may be vastly overestimated and we could be facing an unprecedented global energy crisis, according to a US expert.
On the flip side, a dwindling supply of coal could also throw the brakes on global warming, some argue.
Common knowledge about coal is that major producing nations like China, the United States and Australia, have enough to last hundreds of years, far beyond the reach of oil, which may already be in its twilight years.
But worldwide coal production could plateau as early as 2025, according to one new estimate, and a growing group of scientists are concerned that fossil fuel supplies may begin dwindling by mid-century.
Last year, David Rutledge of the California Institute of Technology analysed the coal production patterns of five regions around the world - eastern Pennsylvania, France, Germany's Ruhr Valley, the United Kingdom and Japan - each of which was producing at less than a tenth of its peak levels.
He found that each of the depleted regions followed a rough bell curve of production; initial production was followed by a steep ramp-up, a plateau near peak levels, and then a consistent decline.
When he applied the same formula to coal data from around the world, the results were startling.
The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's maximum estimate for extractable coal is about 3000 billion tonnes. Rutledge's calculations suggest just 600 billion tonnes.
The problem with the IPCC estimate is that it lumps coal reserves, which are easy to mine, with coal resources, which may be impossible to mine.
Time for rethink
Rutledge's study also shows that, historically, national governments in the five regions have overestimated their reserves by a factor of four on average.
"These appraisals are large-scale issues," he says. "But they're done by governments. What's the incentive for governments not to give a number that is too high?"
James Murray of the University of Washington agrees.
In a talk being presented later this month at the American Geophysical Union Joint Assembly, he plans to call for a re-evaluation of IPCC emissions scenarios, all 40 of which overstate humanity's ability to emit the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide, according to Rutledge's numbers.
The committee's projections predict CO2 levels in the atmosphere to approach 500 parts per million by 2050, if emissions continue on their current trend.
But Rutledge's work suggest that even if humans burn all the coal and oil we can get our hands on, we won't be able to push CO2 past 450 ppm. Oil sands and other unconventional fossil fuels probably won't add much to that total.
Murray and Rutledge diverge on the question of climate effects, though.
Using IPCC models, Rutlgedge argues that global temperatures won't get higher than 2°C above pre-industrial levels, at the lower end of what scientists think might spark 'dangerous' climate change.
"We're still going to have global warming, and it's a serious threat," says Murray. "I have no doubt the IPCC dramatically underestimates climate sensitivity."
Regardless of climate impacts, the concern over looming energy scarcity may be more acute than ever.
"I think we'll see peak coal somewhere between 2025 and 2035," says Richard Heinberg of the Post Carbon Institute in California. "This has huge economic implications. Without growth in our energy supplies, it's very difficult to see how we're going to grow the economy."
Source: http://www.abc.net.au/science/articles/2009/05/13/2569143.htm
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Friday, 22 May 09
CHURCHILL DOUBLES INDONESIAN COAL PROJECT RESOURCE ESTIMATE - STEEL GURU
Mining Weekly quoted Churchill Mining as saying that the resource at its East Kutai coal project in Indonesia has more than doubled to 3.18 billion ...
Friday, 22 May 09
INDONESIA`S BUKIT ASAM TO HAVE POWER PLANT IN 2011 - ANTARA
The construction of a power plant in South Sumatra by coal mining company PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam will be completed in April 2011.
T ...
Friday, 22 May 09
NOBLE WINS CONTROL OF AUSTRALIA'S GLOUCESTER COAL - BLOOMBERG
Noble Group Ltd., a Hong Kong- based commodity supplier, won control of Australia’s Gloucester Coal Ltd. after last week raising its cash bid ...
Thursday, 21 May 09
FBR STARTS COVERAGE OF SHIPPING SECTOR - REUTERS
Friedman Billings Ramsey began coverage of the shipping industry, saying the sector, which is amidst a deep cyclical downturn, is poised for a recov ...
Thursday, 21 May 09
INDONESIAN COAL PRODUCTION IN Q1 BELOW TARGET - STEEL GURU
Mr Bambang Gatot Ariyono director for coal and mineral development at the Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry said that the coal production in the ...
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- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
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