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Saturday, 24 July 10
ANALYSIS - GROWTH IN VESSEL SUPPLY PRESSURES OCEAN FREIGHT RATES
 It's common to use global shipping rate trends as a proxy of global economic health. If demand for goods and raw materials are strong, so should it be transparent in rising shipping rates and demand to move product across the ocean. But rates have tumbled dramatically in the past two months. A benchmark indicator is the U.S. Gulf to Japan route for a generic 50,000-tonne vessel. In mid-May, rates were US$73/t and dropped to $51/tonne one week ago, now rising slightly to $55/t.
The greatest declines are for the biggest vessels (70,000t tonnes or more), the ones used to carry iron ore and coal from Australia and Brazil to China. Such ships cost about US$48,000 a day in late May; but are now only about $18,000 a day, according to industry participants. China's demand for steel appears to have cooled following the recent price surge during the first half of the year and China's effort to cool property markets by restricting credit.
This doesn't imply the beginning of a permanent downtrend. China's economy may be slowing, but the need for raw ingredients can be expected to continue to rise... just that it comes and goes in waves. Furthermore, supply of ships is increasing. It takes about two to three years for a ship to be built and ready to sail after an order is placed and the freight rate spike of three years ago accelerated orders. During first-half 2010, new vessels are coming into service at a rate of 16 a month, a 23 per cent increase over last year, according to industry sources. However, this is now increasing to 23 a month.
Container rates, meanwhile, are reported to be flat. Freight rates from Vancouver to India have slipped fromUS$70-75/t three months ago to$55-60/t. This has helped edible pea bids. Vancouver to China is about U.S. $35/t, down from three-month ago levels of around $50/t. Cheaper ocean freight is generally considered favourable as it lowers the cost of landed goods. Right now, this feels more like a supply growth push in vessel availability than a collapse in demand.
Source: Resource News International / Hellenic Shipping
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Thursday, 23 July 09
COAL IMPORTS SURGE; EXPORTS DOWN IN H1
China Trade Information reported that, China’s coal imports surged by 126.3 percent year-on-year in the first half of 2009, reaching 48.3 mill ...
Thursday, 23 July 09
SRI LANKA CALLS FOR COAL SUPPLY BIDS
Daily Mirro reported that, In a move to install the country’s first coal power plant, Sri Lanka has invited bids to supply 2.4 million metric ...
Thursday, 23 July 09
POWER INVESTORS TURN BACKS ON VIETNAMESE COAL IMPORTERS
VietNamNet Bridge reported that, Investors of power plants always seek foreign coal sources to import themselves, believing they can come by it chea ...
Wednesday, 22 July 09
BERAU COAL DRAWS LOCAL, CHINESE BIDS - SOURCES
* Indonesian coal firm draws local, Chinese bids-sources
* Deal could value Berau at more than $1 billion-sources
Reuters reported that, China' ...
Wednesday, 22 July 09
ONE TENDERS FOR 114,000 MT FOR NOV-JAN
Moroccan state-owned power utility Office National de l’Electricité (ONE) has launched a tender for three handymax shipments of coal fo ...
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
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- The University of Queensland
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