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Monday, 23 March 15
SEABORNE WORLD COAL TRADE: GROWTH +5% - GERMAN COAL IMPORTER ASSOCIATION
German Coal Importer AssociationHard Coal Market 2014: Despite The Energy Turnaround, Hard Coal Imports To Germany Rise By More Than 6%, Although Hard Coal-Fired Power Generation Declines (Part 2) . To read part 1 click here

The German Coal Importer Association (VDKi) has prepared the initial consolidated estimates for the global, European and German hard coal market for all of 2014. Although the growth of production globally stagnated with around 7.2bn tonnes, the seaborne trade growth increased by 5% compared to 2013. Hard coal imports to Germany reached an all-time high at 56m tonnes.

According to a report from Germany Trade & Invest of 09/03/2015 (www.gtai.de), Russian coal exporters enjoyed substantial financial advantages from the devaluation of the ruble because the industry’s own costs on a US dollar basis declined by 50% in 2014 while revenues from coal exports in rubles rose by 30%. Furthermore, a Citibank study showing that own costs in coal mining in Russia are lower than anywhere else except in Indonesia was cited.

Seaborne world coal trade: growth +5%

According to VDKi calculations, seaborne hard coal trade once again rose by 1.2bn tonnes (5%) in 2014over 2013, thereof about 900m tonnes in steam coal and about 300m tonnes in coking coal. The cooling-off of the economy in China was the primary reason for the lower growth in comparison with the previous years.

However, significant shifts are also becoming apparent within the exporting countries:

- Although China imported in total about 13m tonnes less coking coal and 23m tonnes less steam coal (including lignite and anthracite) from the world market as a way to protect the oversupply of the domestic market, the VDKi estimates show that Australia’s hard coal exports in 2014 rose both in total and to China. Worldwide, Australia exported about 386m tonnes, almost 8% more than in 2013, thereof 201m tonnes of steam coal and 185m tonnes of coking coal. Australia’s coking coal exports to China also increased by 0.8m tonnes to over 46m tonnes. As a consequence of the slight increase in coking coal exports and the simultaneous reduction in exports from the USA and Canada to China, Australia was able to increase its market share in this country. Australia was also able to increase its steam coal exports to China by 10% to 47m tonnes. Australia increased volumes over the previous year in its exports to India (+12m tonnes to a total of 46m tonnes), South Korea (+5m tonnes to about 55m tonnes) and Taiwan (+2.7m tonnes to about 30m tonnes).

- In Russia, coal exports increased by 6m tonnes (4%) to 132m tonnes, in South Africa by 3m tonnes to 76.4m tonnes (whereby India alone increased its imports from South Africa by almost 10m tonnes to about 30m tonnes) and in Colombia exports rose by about 1.3m tonnes to 74.9m tones.

- Preliminary estimates by the VDKi show that in 2014 Indonesia increased its hard coal exports (excluding lignite) by about 10m tonnes to 359m tonnes. Measured against the previous years, however, growth was substantially slower.

- Total exports of hard coal from the USA fell for the first time since 2010 back under 91m tonnes and amounted to 88m tonnes, according to information from the Energy Information Administration (EIA). Exports of hard coal to the EU 28 fell by 15% from 46m tonnes in 2013 to 39.2m tonnes in 2014. The primary cause is the low price level, which for many mines was too low and for some mines did not even cover production costs. (The German Coal Importer Association (VDKi) )


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