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Tuesday, 03 July 12
DRY BULK MARKET INCHED FORWARD AT THE START OF THE WEEK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market inched forward at the beginning of the new week, prior to the US holidays regarding the celebration of the 4th of July, which is bound to keep the market a bit on the lull side. Still, the industry’s benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) was up by 9 points on Monday to 1,013 points, further establishing its position above the “psychological” mark of the 1,000 points. The biggest leader of the new rise was the Capesize market, with the Capesize Index up by 14 points, to 1,204. Small gains were also evident in both the Panamax and the Supramax segments, with the Handysize market remaining stable versus the Friday’s closing.
In a report last week, DVB Bank mentioned that the BDI’s average during 2011 was 1,529 points, which in turn was 44% below the 2010 average of 2,758 points. So far in 2012, the average is below 950 points and is indicative of the dire position that the market has found itself, as oversupply has “drowned” freight rates. DVB sees a sustained downward trend, stating that even delays caused by port delays and congestions and an increase in demand for dry bulk commodities, haven’t been enough to help absorb the new tonnage which is entering the market at a frenetic pace.
It’s worth noting that so far this year a total of of 529 vessels, representing 44.4 million dwt have already been delivered. Another 1,148 vessels of 93.5 million dwt are scheduled for delivery until the end of 2012. This is about 58% of the current orderbook, which stands at 2,001 vessels of 161.3 million dwt, which in turns represents about 25.8% of the current fleet. As a result, asset values as well as earnings are not expected to recover anytime soon. DVB stated that "we may see the markets bottom by the end of 2013 and remain flat thereafter. However, this is subject to owners not indulging in more newbuilding contracting if they see a seasonal spike in freight rates".
According to the research report, the fleet of dry bulk carriers now stands at 9,251 vessels with a total carrying capacity of 625.5 million dwt. The average age of the fleet is about 11 years and 61.8% of the fleet is less than 10 years of age. In addition, the average age of vessels less than 10 years of age is merely 3.1 years – an extremely young fleet. In dwt terms, Large Capes constitute the largest portion of current fleet while Panamax size vessels have the largest orderbook. The ULBC size range (280K+ dwt) is expanding rapidly and mainly consists of the 400k+ Vale vessels. Thus far, 11 of these behemoths have delivered. In its report, DVB mentioned that "these massive 400K+ dwt vessels will have a negative impact on asset values as well as freight rates not only for this Sub-Sector but for all smaller Sub-Sectors (VLBC, Large Capes and Small Capes) as well. Each of these Valemax vessels can replace about 2.3 three Large Capes from the market, all other things being equal" it mentioned.
In a separate note, Commodore Research & Consultancy noted that the latest Tropical Storm Doksuri, was expected to make landfall near Hong Kong and should bring even more torrential rainfall in southern China. “Southern China (which is where the majority of China's hydropower is produced) has recently received a very large amount of rain. Last week, the vast majority of southern China received at least 85 millimeters of rain, with some areas receiving as much as of 150mm. This was an extremely large amount. In comparison, all of China received an average rainfall of 68.5mm of rain in May. Chinese hydropower production is poised to continue to rise, which will put added pressure on Chinese thermal coal demand. Chinese demand for imported thermal coal cargoes has remained low and is poised to stay low for the next several weeks. Chinese hydropower production totaled 66.5 billion kilowatt hours in May, which was 22.7 billion kwh (52%) more than produced in April and 15.1 billion kwh (29%) more than produced in May 2011. For June, we expect hydropower production will end up totaling between 70 to 80 billion kwh. In July, hydropower production stands a good chance of setting a new record. The current record is 82.7 billion kwh produced in July 2010.
Going forward, Chinese thermal coal demand is poised to stay low in the near term due to the ongoing surge in Chinese hydropower production (and also due to the robust amount of coal that remains stocked at Chinese ports and power plants)” concluded Commodore Research & Consultancy.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Wednesday, 02 December 20
INDONESIA CONSIDERING CLOSING 3,400MW SURALAYA COAL PLANT - THE JAKARTA POST
The government is considering to shut down the aging Suralaya coal-fired power plant (PLTU) in Cilegon, Banten, and replace it with green energy, a ...
Wednesday, 02 December 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
It has been another busy week in the dry bulk secondhand market; a healthy number of sales reported predominantly from Japanese owners while owner& ...
Thursday, 26 November 20
DECLINE IN COAL EXPORTS ADDS TO NAVAJO-OWNED COMPANY'S PROBLEMS - IEEFA U.S.
Weak demand and low prices are likely creating steep losses for NTEC
U.S. coal exports to Asia—once heralded as the saving gra ...
Thursday, 26 November 20
COAL FINANCING QUICKLY DRYING UP WORLDWIDE - ANALYSTS : REUTERS
Financing for coal projects is drying up at ever increasing rates as more countries target zero carbon emissions amid an energy transition sweeping ...
Wednesday, 25 November 20
LIBOR REPLACEMENT AND SHIP FINANCE - WHERE IS IT HEADING? - WFW
The likely replacement of the LIBOR at the end of 2021 creates difficult technical and practical issues for all sectors of business and finance. Th ...
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- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Planning Commission, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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