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Tuesday, 19 June 12
SMALLER DRY BULK CARRIERS LIFT UP MARKET, PANAMAXES SET TO FALL SAYS ANALYST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Another rise for the dry bulk market was evident yesterday, as the industry’s benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) was up for a ninth straight session to 938 points, rising by 14 points. The rise was once again triggered by the smaller ship types, with the Panamax market rising by 16 points, or 1.5% to 1,081 points, with average daily earnings rising to $8,592. By contrast, the Capesize market was once again falling, with the relative index falling by 10 points to 1,138 points, as a result of tumbling iron ore demand. As a result average daily earnings dropping at just $3,377, a multi-year low.
In a relative note, analyst Commodore Research predicted a new fall of the market, which will most likely impact Panamaxes the most. Commodore mentioned that “it might be hard for some to believe, but at the start of the year capesize rates were averaging $23,991/day. Capesize rates quickly came under intense vessel supply-related pressure, however, and have remained below $10,000/day since January 12th. More recently, rates have come under additional pressure due to the ongoing lull in Chinese iron ore demand. While near-term prospects for capesize rates remain bleak - first and foremost due to the tremendous amount of capesize vessels that will remain available in the market - a strong case can be made that future prospects for panamax rates are considerably worse” said Commodore.
It concluded by mentioning that “for the second half of this year, the orderbook for panamax vessels stands at roughly 355 vessels, while the orderbook for capesize vessels stands at roughly 145 vessels. The 2013 panamax orderbook dwarfs the 2013 capesize orderbook as well. For 2013, the orderbook for panamax vessels stands at roughly 240 vessels, while the orderbook for capesize vessels stands at roughly 90 vessels. In 2013, the panamax market is poised to become the most oversupplied of all of the dry bulk vessel classes. The 595 panamax vessels expected to be delivered by the end of 2013 represent a growth of approximately 28% on the current panamax fleet. The 235 capesize vessels expected to be delivered represent a growth of approximately 16% on the current capesize fleet. While the story for 2012 will likely remain the depressed capesize market, panamax rates are likely to feel great pain in 2013” said Commodore.
In an earlier note, BIMCO had noted that “the dry bulk market is under immense pressure, as the retreating weight of China as the driver of the market is extensively felt. At a time when supply growth simply breaks new mind-blowing delivery records, the demand situation is pitching in a bit too. Currently, there are reports of Chinese customers in the steel industry that are refusing to honour their contract as prices drop, and stock piles are fuller than normal at a time when steel mills take their foot off the throttle following a red-hot production period in recent months. Current fundamental demand/consumption is not strong enough to support such a high production level. As the world awaits the next anticipated Chinese stimulus package to lift demand, the dry bulk market is scouting for another saviour to get it through the day. Crude steel production in China surpassed 60 million tons a month in both March and April. The monthly average in 2011 was 57 million per month” said BIMCO.
It added that “the first five months average earnings of a Capesize bulker ended at USD 7,013 per day. This is down by 13% as compared to the same period last year that earned USD 8,060 per day. The time charter average has only been above USD 10,000 per day in the first 11 days of the year. The brief strengthening of freight rates in the midst of May unfortunately proved to be short-lived. As suggested two months ago, the downward overshooting of rates was corrected upwards with stronger rates during April and the first half of May, but as the optimism in the macroeconomic picture also began to fade, so did the freight market.
China imports more coal when the price gap between Chinese thermal coal (less a heat discount) and imported thermal coal is providing an arbitrage opportunity (including freight costs). When e.g. Australian or Indonesian coal prices become relatively cheaper, Chinese buyers are interested in importing more coal from Australia, which is good news for ship owners. In 2011 the price gap widened substantially, leading to hitherto unseen levels of thermal coal imports to China. If the price of Australian and Indonesian coal drops below the price of Chinese coal, as has been the case the last few months, we might see Chinese imports get back strongly when coal demand peaks in July. This could make 2012 imports surpass those record volumes of 2011” BIMCO concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Friday, 28 June 24
INDIAN POWER STATIONS STOCKED WITH BUMPER COAL SUPPLY AS TRANSPORT WOES EASE - BUSINESS STANDARD
Even as power demand has touched a historic high of 250 gigawatts (Gw) amid sweltering heat this June, India’s power stations are stocked wit ...
Friday, 28 June 24
INDIA'S CY23 COAL USE LARGER THAN NORTH AMERICA, EUROPE COMBINED - THE HINDU
For the first time, India’s coal consumption surpassed that of North America and Europe combined in the calendar year 2023, said Energy Insti ...
Monday, 24 June 24
PLN'S FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY RESTS ON ACCELERATED COAL RETIREMENT AND RENEWABLES DEPLOYMENT - MUTYA YUSTIKA
On 28 May 2024, Indonesia’s national electricity utility, PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN), released its financial report for 2023. Althoug ...
Monday, 24 June 24
INDIA'S COAL-BASED POWER DEMAND AT ALL-TIME HIGH, GOVERNMENT SAYS - REUTERS
India’s demand for coal-based power has risen by 7.3% this fiscal year to an all-time high, the government said in a statement on Wednesday.
...
Monday, 24 June 24
CHINA'S COAL INDUSTRY TURNS GREENER THROUGH INNOVATIVE APPROACHES - PEOPLE'S DAILY
At an opencast mine operated by Inner Mongolia Pingzhuang Coal Group Co. Ltd., a subsidiary of CHN Energy Investment Group (CHN Energy), a 14-meter ...
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Showing 11 to 15 news of total 6871 |
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- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The University of Queensland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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