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Friday, 12 February 10
TATA POWER: QUARTERLY BLIP
 Although the company’s revenues dipped in the December quarter, its long-term story is intact.
Lower power generation and realisations saw Tata Power’s net sales in the December 2009 quarter dip 12 per cent year-on-year to Rs 1,528 crore. Operating income and net profits, however, surged 42 per cent and 28 per cent to Rs 364 crore and Rs 148 crore, respectively.
The dip in realisations can be attributed to passing of lower fuel costs to consumers, while the closure of two units in Trombay meant that power generation was flat in spite of 500 Mw of capacity added in 2009. Fuel costs per unit of electricity generated declined from Rs 3.31 in the December 2008 quarter to Rs 2.46 for the latest quarter.
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“TATA is on track to nearly double its generation capacity to 5,800 Mw by end of 2011-12”
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A change in fuel mix in favour of gas led to a 26 per cent saving in fuel costs. This was partly passed to consumers resulting in realisations falling 12 per cent year-on-year to Rs 4.1 a unit in the quarter from Rs 4.7 in the year ago period. Average tariffs for merchant sales also dropped to Rs 5.37-6.21 from Rs 5.5-6.5 in previous quarters, according to analysts. Operationally, generation and sales remained flat. Overall, Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization margins expanded 9.5 percentage points y-o-y to 26.8 per cent (led by savings in fuel costs), though they were lower by 265 basis points sequentially.
The company is on track to nearly double its generation capacity to 5,800 Mw by end of 2011-12. Most projects are on schedule with the Maithon plant scheduled for commissioning in 2010-11 and Mundra UMPP scheduled for 2011-12. The company has received approval for its mining plan in Mandakini coal block with most formalities already been completed. Coal production is expected to start from July 2011 according to analysts. The Tubed block mining proposal has also been approved and submitted to the state government. Production is targeted from February 2012.
Tata Power is seen as a quasi-coal play given its acquisition of stake in two Indonesian coal mines of Bumi group. Bumi mined 29.3 million tonnes at an average cost of $60 per tonne in the first half of 2009-10. Coal prices have firmed by 11 per cent to about $90 per tonne since November 2009, analysts say.
Consolidated numbers due later this month will therefore be an interesting watch. Another positive is a freeing up of about 500 Mw that was earlier supplied to Reliance Infra in Mumbai. About 200 Mw will be available for merchant trading and the rest will be sold on regulated basis from April 2010.
The stock has largely performed in line with the BSE Sensex since the beginning of 2010. It ended yesterday at Rs 1,265, down by Rs 10 over Wednesday’s closing, and trades at 15.4 times consensus analyst 2010-11 EPS estimates. Analysts value the stock at Rs 1,500 on sum-of-the-parts basis which includes the company’s investments in Bumi (coal mines) and telecom among others, indicating that there is room for upside.
Source: Business-Standard
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Tuesday, 12 January 10
COAL PRICE FORECAST RAISED AT ANZ ON STRONGER CHINESE DEMAND
Power-station coal price forecasts for this year were raised 19 percent by Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. on rising demand from Chin ...
Tuesday, 12 January 10
BUMIS SALE CONTRACT ONLY REACHED 35 PERCENT
PT Bumi Resources has only completed 35 percent if its coal sale contract this year. “More than 65 percent of our sale volume did not have a c ...
Monday, 11 January 10
THE MARKET IS LIKELY TO BE STEADY - VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com (Singapore): The freight market for the first week of the year was quite active and the market especially in the Panamax and Supramax s ...
Monday, 11 January 10
CHINAS COAL EXPORT MAY DECLINE 50% IN 2009
Preliminary data released by China's General Administration of Customs (GAC) on Wednesday showed that China's coal export reached 2.05 million ton ...
Saturday, 09 January 10
THE FAR EAST MARKET STARTED TO STABILIZE - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The FEAST market started to stabilize after the quite holidays and we saw growing activity fed by Chinese coal and iron ore imports and Indi ...
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