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Thursday, 11 February 10
THE INDIAN MARKET SOFTENING A BIT - FEARNRESEARCH


Handy
The BSI has gone down for 3 weeks now but it is more a reflection of the Pac market. Activity in the Atl remains solid and rates remain firm. The Cont remains also quite firm. A 45k dwt got usd 23750 bss dely Gib via Cont to E.Med with scrap. Hmaxes open in USG still get high 30´s for trips to the Med/Cont. The short period market remains active with a 58.5k dwt rumoured fixed around 28k/day for 3/5 mos dely SpanMed - some similar fixed usd 33k. The outlook is for a pursued firm markets in the Atl. The FEast market is still softening as we move towards Chinese New Year. For Pac rounds Supras can achieve mid/high 10´s and for Indo/India coal trips around low/mid 10´s. For backhauls Supras trading in the very low teens. It seems there was little interest for period biz over the week, Supras trading low 20´s for short period. The

“The Indian market softening a bit.Supras with Iron Ore from WCI to China fixed in the high 20´s/low 30´s and in the mid 20´s from ECI. For Richard Bay rounds back to India”

Indian market softening a bit; Supras with i.ore from WCI to China fixed in the high 20´s/low 30´s and in the mid 20´s from ECI. For Rich.Bay rounds back to India

Panamax
The Atlantic market rates have decreased, while the Pacific rates have stabilized and increased slightly the last week. A bigger drop has been prevented by the short period interest and a rise in paper values. Limited amount of fresh Atlantic business, although trips east still available. Still some heavy congested ports in east Australia keeping tonnage off the market. Average Baltic index slightly decreased from 3100 to 3087. A negative future prospect, but we could see a more active market and increased rates, both physical and paper, when the Chinese are back just over the Lunar New year, but probably short lived.

Capesize
The market seems to be in a freefall. After a slow start to the week with rate being repeated at last weeks levels, usd 9.50 for West Australia to China, the market has taken a turn for the worse. The sentiment is so week that modern vessels are offering themselves at lower numbers to charterers without getting responses. The front haul, Brazil/China is also coming off, with time charter fixtures equating to mid usd 20´s per mt. This represents a usd 3-4 per mt fall and there seems no hope in sight with the Chinese headed for their Spring Festival. On the period front, there has been a lot of short period enquiry hoping to take advantage of weaker levels, but few owners willing to sign up at present levels which would be in the low usd 30 ´s even though this is a usd 5-7000 premium over the spot market.
Source: FEARNRESEARCH



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