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Friday, 18 December 09
COKING COAL SHORTAGE IN CHINA TO SPUR DEMAND FIGHT WITH JAPAN
China, the world’s largest steelmaker, faces a shortage of coking coal that may drive imports next year and spur a fight for resources with Japanese and South Korean mills, two Chinese industry groups said.
“Domestic demand for coking coal will rise moderately next year, while global demand may gain faster, intensifying competition,” Wu Chenghou, senior adviser of the China Coal Transportation and Distribution Association, said in an interview.
China’s coking coal imports rose 12-fold this year, boosting sales of BHP Billiton Ltd. as the government closed smaller, unsafe mines. Prices may jump by between 23 percent and 38 percent in 2010, as global demand rebounds from the deepest recession since the 1930s, according to Macquarie Securities Group, JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Morgan Stanley.
“China doesn’t have enough domestic supply to meet increasing demand from its steelmakers,” said Zhang Bochun, secretary general of the Hebei Coking & Chemical Industry Association. Mills would “compete with foreign rivals,” he said in an interview.
Chinese imports in 2010 may be similar to this year, Zhang said. Hebei province buys the most coking coal in China, according to industry researcher Mysteel.com. The nation’s $586 billion stimulus spending is spurring automakers and property developers to buy more steel, leading Baoshan Iron & Steel Co. and Chinese mills to expand coal consumption to feed furnaces.
Intense Competition
Import demand by China, the world’s biggest coking coal buyer after Japan, may rise 5.6 percent to 38 million metric tons next year from an expected 36 million tons this year, Macquarie analysts led by Jim Lennon said in a Dec. 15 report. Domestic coal prices in the nation may increase 14 percent next year, Citigroup Inc. said in a Dec. 4 report.
Japan’s purchases may jump 14 percent to 58 million tons, and South Korea’s demand may rise 17 percent to 21 million tons next year, Macquarie said.
“BHP and other suppliers may add exports to Japan and South Korea because demand is picking up there,” said Zhang Weifang, a Shanghai-based analyst of Mysteel.com. “The Chinese would probably have to pay higher spot prices, compared to their foreign rivals who would pay lower contract prices.”
China would be demanding more high quality hard-coking coal in the future as it expands mills, BHP Billiton said in a September slide presentation. The nation this year “emerged” to fill a demand gap for coking coal, the world’s largest mining company said.
World’s Worst Mines
The Chinese government started closing small coal mines in 2008 to improve their safety records after 3,770 workers were killed in 2007, making the mines the world’s deadliest. China produced 705.1 million tons of coking coal last year, according to Beijing Antaike Information Development Co.
Congestion on railways is also boosting imports by steelmakers which have furnaces near ports, said Mysteel’s Zhang.
These mills may get 20,000 tons to 30,000 tons of coal monthly by railway, she said. A ship can carry 70,000 tons, and take just half a month from Australia to China, she said.
Benchmark contract prices may surge to $180 a ton from $129 a ton, Macquarie forecast. JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley expect prices to jump to $160 a ton.
Steel demand growth in China will outpace supply in 2010, Deutsche Bank AG said Dec. 11. Steel output may exceed 600 million tons next year, after reaching a record 570 million tons this year, the China Securities Journal reported Dec. 17, citing Ma Guoqiang, general manager of Baoshan Steel Co., the nation’s largest steelmaker.
Source: Bloomberg
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Wednesday, 06 January 10
SAS 2009 COAL EXPORTS THROUGH RBCT FLAT AT 61MT
Exports through South Africa’s Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) remained flat in 2009, as the terminal faced “critical business challen ...
Wednesday, 06 January 10
BUMI SHARES UP AS OVERALL PERFORMANCE BEATS PREDICTIONS
The world’s largest thermal coal exporter PT Bumi Resources saw its shares jump 10 percent to Rp 2,675 ($29 US cents) on Tuesday after the com ...
Wednesday, 06 January 10
INDIA MAY HAVE BECOME TOP BUYER OF SOUTH AFRICAN COAL
India may have overtaken Europe for the first time as the biggest purchaser of South African coal in 2009, according to Raymond Chirwa, Richards Bay ...
Wednesday, 06 January 10
COAL PEAK RECEDES INTO THE FAR DISTANCE
COALspot.com (German): Coal will be available to mankind as an energy source for the next 120 years.
The German Coal Importer Association has ca ...
Tuesday, 05 January 10
SUPRAMAX MARKET REMAINED QUIET OVER THE LAST 10 DAYS BRS - DRY BULK
Despite a damp end to the year for bulk rates, shipping has weathered the storm far better than was initially expected in the wake of the financ ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- White Energy Company Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
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