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Wednesday, 16 December 09
CHINA 2010 COAL TERM PRICES SEEN RISING 8% ON YEAR
Term prices of thermal coal for 2010 in China are expected to rise about 8 percent from this year's levels, as demand for power has been roaring back due to steady economic recovery, analysts and industry officials said.
But higher coal prices may bring a tough year for power plants, in the absence of power tariff hikes or pricing scheme reforms.
Six analysts surveyed by Reuters expect term prices for thermal coal, used in power generation, to rise between 5 and 20 percent from this year's levels, with consensus around 8 percent.
"I think an 8 to 10 percent rise would be reasonable, given the rapid climb in spot prices, as well as strong demand for coal and power," said Martin Wang, an analyst at Guotai Junan Securities in Hong Kong.
"Utilities, however, are facing a tough year. They might still be able to make a profit, after they've phased out the inefficient power generators. But the profit margin would vary from company to company."
Coal miners and power plants were in a stalemate over this year's term prices for months, before some power plants quietly accepted price hikes demanded by coal miners, as power consumption recovered and spot coal prices strengthened.
Spot thermal coal prices in Qinhuangdao, the country's top coal shipping port, rose nearly 30 percent from mid-September, when prices started to steadily climb.
Coal with calorific value of 5,500 kcal/kg (NAR) was quoted in the range of 730 yuan to 750 yuan ($106,9 - $109,9) a tonne, according to the Qinhuangdao Seaborne Coal Market.
The current price is about 37 percent higher than 540 yuan a tonne, the benchmark free-on-board term price offered by Shenhua, China's top coal producer.
Meanwhile, China's power generation in November rose 26,9 percent on the year, the fastest growth in nearly 4 years, as industrial activities continued to accelerate and cold weather spurred heating demand.
TOUGH YEAR AHEAD FOR UTILITIES
Power utilities, which just returned to profit this year due to lower coal prices, are again facing steep rises in production cost and coal miners with increasing negotiating power.
"There is an increasing monopoly in the coal industry, as the consolidation is pushing forward. But the power sector is still segmented," said an executive at a large power generating group.
China's five major power generating groups, including the parents of GD Power Development Co Ltd, China Power International, Datang International Power Generation Co Ltd, Huadian Power and Huaneng Power International, generate nearly half of national output.
"We can't do anything. If coal costs rise, we'll probably see sector-wise losses again," said the executive.
Beijing has cancelled the annual coal price negotiating conference and instead asked suppliers and users to complete deals within a month, while pledging to improve the power tariff pricing scheme and keep coal prices stable.
Source: Reuters / Mining weekly
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Thursday, 03 December 09
PROLONGED COAL MARGIN SQUEEZE AHEAD - WESCOAL
Mining Weekly reported that, Coal junior Wescoal foresees a continued margin squeeze ahead. The JSE AltX-listed company's gross margin was reduced ...
Tuesday, 01 December 09
COAL DEMAND REBOUNDING FROM DOWNTURN - U.S. MINING EXECS
The coal industry is slowly rebounding from last year's recession with demand and prices inching upward, although inventories at U.S. power ...
Tuesday, 01 December 09
INDONESIA COAL OUTPUT SEEN LIFTED BY CHINA, INDIA
Reuters reported that, Indonesia's coal output is expected to grow by as much as 12 percent in 2010, boosted by demand from power hungry China and ...
Monday, 30 November 09
NTPC SCOUTS FOR MORE COAL BLOCKS IN INDONESIA
State-run National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC) today said it has identified three more coal blocks in Indonesia for acquisition.
"We ha ...
Monday, 30 November 09
THE FUTURES FOR THREE YEARS (2010-2012) WAS SOFT COMPARED TO LAST WEEK - VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com (Singapore): BDI continued to drop this week and touched below 4,000 mark level. The drop in BDI was almost 12 pct and closed at 3,975 ...
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- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PTC India Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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