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Wednesday, 16 December 09
CHINA 2010 COAL TERM PRICES SEEN RISING 8% ON YEAR
Term prices of thermal coal for 2010 in China are expected to rise about 8 percent from this year's levels, as demand for power has been roaring back due to steady economic recovery, analysts and industry officials said.
But higher coal prices may bring a tough year for power plants, in the absence of power tariff hikes or pricing scheme reforms.
Six analysts surveyed by Reuters expect term prices for thermal coal, used in power generation, to rise between 5 and 20 percent from this year's levels, with consensus around 8 percent.
"I think an 8 to 10 percent rise would be reasonable, given the rapid climb in spot prices, as well as strong demand for coal and power," said Martin Wang, an analyst at Guotai Junan Securities in Hong Kong.
"Utilities, however, are facing a tough year. They might still be able to make a profit, after they've phased out the inefficient power generators. But the profit margin would vary from company to company."
Coal miners and power plants were in a stalemate over this year's term prices for months, before some power plants quietly accepted price hikes demanded by coal miners, as power consumption recovered and spot coal prices strengthened.
Spot thermal coal prices in Qinhuangdao, the country's top coal shipping port, rose nearly 30 percent from mid-September, when prices started to steadily climb.
Coal with calorific value of 5,500 kcal/kg (NAR) was quoted in the range of 730 yuan to 750 yuan ($106,9 - $109,9) a tonne, according to the Qinhuangdao Seaborne Coal Market.
The current price is about 37 percent higher than 540 yuan a tonne, the benchmark free-on-board term price offered by Shenhua, China's top coal producer.
Meanwhile, China's power generation in November rose 26,9 percent on the year, the fastest growth in nearly 4 years, as industrial activities continued to accelerate and cold weather spurred heating demand.
TOUGH YEAR AHEAD FOR UTILITIES
Power utilities, which just returned to profit this year due to lower coal prices, are again facing steep rises in production cost and coal miners with increasing negotiating power.
"There is an increasing monopoly in the coal industry, as the consolidation is pushing forward. But the power sector is still segmented," said an executive at a large power generating group.
China's five major power generating groups, including the parents of GD Power Development Co Ltd, China Power International, Datang International Power Generation Co Ltd, Huadian Power and Huaneng Power International, generate nearly half of national output.
"We can't do anything. If coal costs rise, we'll probably see sector-wise losses again," said the executive.
Beijing has cancelled the annual coal price negotiating conference and instead asked suppliers and users to complete deals within a month, while pledging to improve the power tariff pricing scheme and keep coal prices stable.
Source: Reuters / Mining weekly
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Monday, 14 December 09
SOUTH AFRICAN STEAM COAL PRICES FIRMING UP FOR Q1 TRADE
Reuters reported that Q1 South African coal prices firmed again slightly largely on Asian demand but European delivered prices were little changed.
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Sunday, 13 December 09
THE FREIGHT MARKET SEEMS TO BE COMING OFF A BIT AND THE MARKET MAY BE SOFT NEXT WEEK - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com (Singapore): "The market softened this week especially in the Cape and Panamax segment , where as the Supramax and Handy size was ...
Sunday, 13 December 09
NAPOCOR CUTS COAL IMPORT PROJECTION FOR 2010
STATE-RUN National Power Corp. slashed its planned coal importation for 2010 to only 200,000 metric tons from 3.4 million MT this year, as the gover ...
Sunday, 13 December 09
CHINESE BUYERS SEEK LARGE TONNAGE OF SOUTH AFRICA STEAM COAL
Reuters reported that Chinese utilities on the coast and inland are seeking several cape cargoes each of South African coal for 2010 delivery becaus ...
Saturday, 12 December 09
QUEENSLAND APPROVES A$4 BILLION COAL TERMINAL PROJECT
Queensland’s state government said it has signed a mandate approving development of the A$4 billion ($3.7 billion) Wiggins Island coal termina ...
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ASAPP Information Group - India
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- Australian Coal Association
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- The Treasury - Australian Government
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
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- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
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- MS Steel International - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
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- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
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- Planning Commission, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
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- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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