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Monday, 07 December 09
CHINA COKING COAL PRICE MAY RISE 14% ON DEFICIT, CITIGROUP SAYS


Coking coal prices in China, the world’s biggest steel producer, may rise 14 percent next year because of a supply deficit, Citigroup Inc. said.

Supply of the steelmaking raw material will fall short of demand by 27 million metric tons next year, a gap that will be filled by imports, Citigroup analysts Catherine Wang and Thomas P Wrigglesworth said in a Dec. 4 report.

China’s $586 billion stimulus spending has boosted steel demand from property developers and automakers. Steel output in China may rise 14 percent to 570 million tons this year, Xu Lejiang, chairman of the nation’s biggest producer Baosteel Group Corp., said last week in Beijing.

“Coking coal is our favorite bulk commodity,” the analysts said in the research report. “With limited supply, the sector is set to benefit from high levels of steel production in China.”

Hidili Industry International Development Ltd., southwestern China’s largest producer of coking coal, gained as much as 2.9 percent to HK$9.35 and traded at HK$9.25 at 10:40 a.m. The stock has almost quadrupled this year.

Coking coal demand in China may increase 9 percent to 509 million tons from this year, while production will grow 10 percent to 482 million tons, the report said. The forecast is based on pig-iron production of 597 million tons next year, according to the report.

Benchmark coking coal prices have risen 10 percent since May to 1,260 yuan a ton in Pingdingshan, according to industry researcher Steelhome. Pingdingshan, a city in China’s central Henan province, holds China’s largest reserves of coking coal.
Source: Bloomberg



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