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Monday, 30 November 09
INDIA UTILITIES MOVE TO COAL INDEX - PRICING


Indian state utilities are leading a switch to coal index-linked pricing from fixed prices to secure imports and to be visibly paying fair market prices, utilities and analysts said.

Prices paid by the utilities will move monthly in line with the international spot market. "The Indian state utilities are moving to index-linked prices because this is a more transparent way of buying coal," said Mark Earley, Head Asia Pacific Coal Consulting at Wood Mackenzie.

Utilities led by National Thermal Power Corp (NTPC) are using a basket of coal indexes: the API4 South African index, the Newcastle Australian coal FOB index with adjustments for bunker prices.

"We are certainly looking at index pricing for our independent power plant in Tamil Nadu as well," said Coal & Oil President Ahmed Buhari. "We have been advocating this concept for a long time, and are happy to see NTPC taking the lead."

"This concept is finding widespread acceptance, as annual fixed-price contracts swayed much," he said.

All India's state utilities are moving to index-pricing for imports and will use NTPC's formula, said Malay K. De, chairman of West Bengal State Electricity Distribution Co.

Gujarat Electricity Board will award a tender for 1.5 million tonnes of coal for 2010 in the next few weeks, also at index-linked prices. Almost all European utilities buy coal at prices linked to benchmark indexes so that they can manage price risk by using coal derivatives to hedge.

Buying coal on floating index-prices without hedging is the most risky strategy possible for a consumer, European utilities and traders said.

Utilities in Japan and Korea are also looking at indexing to curb risk but in India few players hedge, politics have been a major factor behind the pricing switch. Indian utilities can pass on higher imported coal costs to consumers so price risk control is not a priority for them.

Imported coal buying became a hot political issue in July when MMTC was forced to re-issue a tender after a trader publicly demanded the government and the Central Bureau of Investigation look into unfair procurement practices.

Since the MMTC re-tender, state utilities' buying has been under close scrutiny. Using international indexes enables them to avoid a similar public fuss.

COMPETITION WITH CHINA

India's growing need for coal imports will force buyers to adopt internationally-accepted business terms and to stop seeking discounted prices, Earley said.

"They also know they need to adapt more to the region's way of doing business, to be able to source enough coal when supply is going to be tight in Asia," Earley said. Chinese buyers do not seek discounts and move much more swiftly than their Indian counterparts to secure coal cargoes and mining assets, he said.

This will become increasingly critical if all the projected new power plants are built between now and 2012. India's coal demand could rise to 731 million tonnes in fiscal 2011/12 against production of 520 million tonnes, leaving a huge shortfall for imports.

"The Indian utilities need to build a more credible presence in the international coal market as demand forecasts show that they are likely to be importing in the region of 100 million tonnes a year before long," Earley said.
Source: Economic Times



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