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Friday, 02 August 24
ENERGY MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: COAL AND NATURAL GAS PRICES REACH RECORD HIGHS - WORLD BANK
 The recent surge in natural gas and coal prices has been so swift that the main benchmarks were roughly three times higher in 2022Q2 compared to a year earlier. European natural gas and South African coal prices reached all-time highs in March and April, while U.S. natural gas prices reached their highest level since 2008. The surge in prices partly reflects the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine; in 2020, Russia accounted for one-quarter of global exports of natural gas and just under one-fifth of coal exports. Beyond the impact of the war, demand for natural gas and coal has been robust, rising by about 5 and 6 percent, respectively, in 2021 amid a strong post-pandemic recovery, with both reaching record highs.
The war in Ukraine is disrupting trade in energy. Europe relies heavily on Russia for imports of natural gas and coal. In response to the war, the European Union imposed a ban on imports of Russian coal starting in August 2022 and has pledged to reduce imports of Russian gas by two-thirds by the end of the year. While some of Russia’s coal can be redirected to other countries, this will be costly as coal is bulky and expensive to transport. Redirection of natural gas is even more limited due to a lack of transportation infrastructure — 70% of Russia’s exports to Europe are by pipeline.
EU turns to alternative LNG suppliers. The EU has sharply increased its imports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to rebuild depleted inventories and diversify its suppliers. Inventories have risen rapidly in the last few months, although they remain slightly below the five-year average. In addition, EU countries are investing in additional infrastructure to facilitate LNG trade, such as new terminals, and the EU has also announced plans to sharply increase renewable energy capacity. Energy policies in Europe, however, have large spillover effects on other countries. For example, the sharp increase in EU imports of LNG has forced other countries that rely on LNG, notably emerging markets in Asia, to turn to coal.
Amid high prices, U.S. exports of LNG soar. The United States exported 11.5 billion cubic meters per day in the first half of 2022, a record high and equal to 12% of its domestic production. U.S exports to the EU and the United Kingdom have more than tripled compared to last year, such that Europe accounted for about three-quarters of U.S. LNG exports in the first half of 2022. The increase in U.S. LNG exports reflects the high spot prices of European natural gas compared to both the U.S. and Asia prices. U.S. LNG exports have recently declined, however, due to an explosion at a major LNG terminal. This disruption to supplies is expected to last until October.
Coal production rises amid high prices and shortages. Although global coal production increased by nearly 6% in 2021, coal shortages in China and India led to policies aimed at increasing domestic production. Because the coal (and natural gas) shortages have persisted, additional policy measures were introduced earlier this year. India, for example, announced plans to reopen 100 coal mines that had previously been considered uneconomic.
Risks to the natural gas and coal outlook. After a projected sharp increase in 2022, natural gas and coal prices are expected to moderately decline in 2023, although they will remain much higher than their five-year average. The duration of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the extent of its disruption to trade in coal and natural gas are the biggest uncertainties facing the outlook for the market. A sharp reduction in Russia’s exports to the EU, for example, could cause prices to spike, particularly if it occurred during the winter period when demand is high. Exports of natural gas from Russia to Europe have already fallen due to maintenance and other technical issues with the Nord Stream 1 pipeline. Prices also remain vulnerable to weather-related conditions and import policies that can affect trade patterns and push up costs. This is particularly the case given the very limited global spare production capacity for natural gas.
By Peter Nagle & Kaltrina Temaj
World Bank
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Friday, 06 September 24
REBOUND IN OIL DEMAND COULD LIFT MARKET IN LATTER HALF OF 2024 - BIMCO
Supply/demand
Based on a strong second half demand, the supply/balance is forecast to strengthen in 2024 but weaken slightly in 2025 as n ...
Friday, 06 September 24
GLOBAL SEABORNE LNG TRADE HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE LAST YEAR - BANCHERO COSTA
Global seaborne LNG trade has continued to increase last year, helped also by the events in Ukraine which forced Europe to diversify away from Russ ...
Wednesday, 28 August 24
SEABORNE COAL IMPORTS INTO INDIA INCREASED BY +9.9% Y-O-Y TO 146.6 MLN T - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace over the past year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels said Banchero Costa Research in its lates ...
Tuesday, 06 August 24
EXERCISE CAUTION WITH AMMONIA SWITCH - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A new study from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) has thrown a spanner into the plan to transition ships from diesel fuel to ammonia ...
Friday, 02 August 24
COAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: FALLING PRICES AMID RECORD-HIGH OUTPUT - WORLD BANK
Coal prices inched up in May (m/m) following an 8 percent decline in 2024Q1. The Australian and South African benchmarks have plummeted more ...
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Planning Commission, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The University of Queensland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Coal Association
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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