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Friday, 14 June 24
NEWBUILDING PRICES CLIMB 3% TO HIGHEST LEVEL IN 16 YEARS - NIELS RASMUSSEN
 “Since the start of the year, newbuilding prices have risen 3% to their highest level since 2008. Compared to their most recent low in late 2020 they are up 53%. During the same period, the order book has grown by 72%, reaching its highest level since early 2012 and is up 2% year-to-date,” says Niels Rasmussen, Chief Shipping Analyst at BIMCO.
Shipyards’ global order book currently stands at 133m Compensated Gross Tonnage (CGT), an increase of 56m CGT compared to the order book’s most recent low in late 2020. LNG and container ships have accounted for respectively 35% and 30% of the increase while bulk carriers, tankers and LPG have accounted for the rest.
The order book for container ships, however, peaked during the first quarter of 2023 and has fallen since. Year-to-date, the container ship order book has fallen 16%, deviating from the overall growth trend together with the bulk carrier order book which is down 3%.
“So far this year, the tanker and LNG segments combined have been the main drivers of growth in the global order book. In addition, the LPG tanker, cruise ship, chemical tanker and RoRo ship order books have seen double digit growth,” says Rasmussen.
Between 2010 and 2020, the shipyard industry was plagued by overcapacity. Therefore, prices only varied +/- 10% from the period’s median price.
Assuming that the available shipyard capacity in a year equals the maximum delivered in the past five years, we can illustrate both the past overcapacity and how the situation has improved.
Between 2010 and 2020, the median order book vs capacity ratio was 2.2, declining to 1.7 during the second half of 2017. Since then, the ratio has climbed from 2.1 in late 2020 to 3.7 currently, the highest since 2010.
This improvement has helped fuel the price increases. The 53% price increase in just 3.5 years may seem dramatic but it is worth remembering that the average annual price increase between 2010 and 2024 has only been 2.3% even though manufacturing wages in China have more than tripled.
“Looking ahead, the need to start replacing the large generations of ships built in the 2000s, as well as the need to decarbonise, appear to bode well for future contracting. Avoiding a massive build-up of shipyard capacity like in 2000s will be critical if shipyards are to avoid a rise in overcapacity and a scenario where prices fall back to the levels seen in the 2010s,” says Rasmussen.
Source: By Niels Rasmussen, Chief Shipping Analyst at BIMCO
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Wednesday, 31 January 24
GAS EXPORTS COST U.S. CONSUMERS MORE THAN $100 BILLION OVER 16-MONTH PERIOD - IEEFA
Limited Demand Growth Could Dampen the Dry Bulk Market in the Coming Months BIMCOStarting in late 2021—before its invasion of Ukraine—R ...
Tuesday, 30 January 24
LIMITED DEMAND GROWTH COULD DAMPEN THE DRY BULK MARKET IN THE COMING MONTHS - BIMCO
Demand
In our base scenario, we expect cargo demand to grow by 0-1% in 2024 and 0.5-1.5% in 2025. This is a 0.5 percentage point reduction for ...
Friday, 26 January 24
RED SEA DIVERSIONS ADD NEARLY A MILLION DOLLARS PER VOYAGE TO SHIPPING COSTS WHILE DOUBLING TRANSIT TIME - LSEG
The incremental costs of diverting a tanker from Asia to NW Europe via the Cape of Good Hope is accounting for an extra $932,905 USD per voyage whi ...
Friday, 26 January 24
HARD COAL GUARDIAN ANGEL OF THE ENERGY SUPPLY - GERMANY COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
- No security of supply without hard coal
- The Substitute Power Plant Provision Act (EKBG) must be extended
- Higher grid fees due to the ...
Thursday, 25 January 24
THE RED SEA ESCALATION IMPLICATIONS ON GLOBAL SEABORNE TRADE - MARIA BERTZELETOU
In recent days, discussions have intensified about the potential impact on the seaborne trade and ton-miles due to the evolving dynamics of market ...
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- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The University of Queensland
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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