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Friday, 14 June 24
NEWBUILDING PRICES CLIMB 3% TO HIGHEST LEVEL IN 16 YEARS - NIELS RASMUSSEN
 “Since the start of the year, newbuilding prices have risen 3% to their highest level since 2008. Compared to their most recent low in late 2020 they are up 53%. During the same period, the order book has grown by 72%, reaching its highest level since early 2012 and is up 2% year-to-date,” says Niels Rasmussen, Chief Shipping Analyst at BIMCO.
Shipyards’ global order book currently stands at 133m Compensated Gross Tonnage (CGT), an increase of 56m CGT compared to the order book’s most recent low in late 2020. LNG and container ships have accounted for respectively 35% and 30% of the increase while bulk carriers, tankers and LPG have accounted for the rest.
The order book for container ships, however, peaked during the first quarter of 2023 and has fallen since. Year-to-date, the container ship order book has fallen 16%, deviating from the overall growth trend together with the bulk carrier order book which is down 3%.
“So far this year, the tanker and LNG segments combined have been the main drivers of growth in the global order book. In addition, the LPG tanker, cruise ship, chemical tanker and RoRo ship order books have seen double digit growth,” says Rasmussen.
Between 2010 and 2020, the shipyard industry was plagued by overcapacity. Therefore, prices only varied +/- 10% from the period’s median price.
Assuming that the available shipyard capacity in a year equals the maximum delivered in the past five years, we can illustrate both the past overcapacity and how the situation has improved.
Between 2010 and 2020, the median order book vs capacity ratio was 2.2, declining to 1.7 during the second half of 2017. Since then, the ratio has climbed from 2.1 in late 2020 to 3.7 currently, the highest since 2010.
This improvement has helped fuel the price increases. The 53% price increase in just 3.5 years may seem dramatic but it is worth remembering that the average annual price increase between 2010 and 2024 has only been 2.3% even though manufacturing wages in China have more than tripled.
“Looking ahead, the need to start replacing the large generations of ships built in the 2000s, as well as the need to decarbonise, appear to bode well for future contracting. Avoiding a massive build-up of shipyard capacity like in 2000s will be critical if shipyards are to avoid a rise in overcapacity and a scenario where prices fall back to the levels seen in the 2010s,” says Rasmussen.
Source: By Niels Rasmussen, Chief Shipping Analyst at BIMCO
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Tuesday, 02 January 24
COAL TRADE CONTINUES TO HEAD EAST - BALTIC EXCHANGE
The global coal trade, once concentrated in the Pacific and Atlantic basins, is undergoing a significant transformation, as highlighted in the Inte ...
Tuesday, 02 January 24
COAL CARGOES: AVOIDING EXPLOSION AND SELF-HEATING - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Despite its contribution to greenhouse gas emissions, global coal consumption climbed to an all-time high in 2022 and is ...
Tuesday, 02 January 24
SINOPEC FORECASTS CHINA’S COAL CONSUMPTION TO PEAK AROUND 2025 - REUTERS
China Petrochemical Corp, or Sinopec, expects coal consumption to peak around 2025 at 4.37 billion metric tons, the state energy group said in an o ...
Thursday, 07 December 23
CHINA TO SET UP COAL PRODUCTION RESERVE TO STABILISE PRICES - REUTERS
China will establish a back-up coal production system by 2027 to stabilise prices and secure coal supply, the state planner said on Wednesday, even ...
Friday, 01 December 23
COAL MINERS GROUP EXPECTS INDONESIA’S 2023 COAL OUTPUT TO SURPASS TARGET - REUTERS
The Indonesian Coal Mining Association (ICMA) expects the country’s 2023 coal output to surpass the official target of 695 million metric ton ...
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- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
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