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Friday, 23 February 24
RUSSIAN COAL SHIPMENTS FALL 14% AS SANCTIONS BITE - BIMCO
 During the first seven weeks of 2024, Russian coal shipments have fallen 14% y/y. Volumes have gradually declined since October 2023 when logistical challenges started to emerge. Two years after the start of the war in Ukraine, sanctions on Russia are limiting the country’s ability to export coal.
A significant portion of Russian coal is sourced from Siberia and transported to Russian ports by rail. Since the start of the war in Ukraine, railways in Russia have been under pressure as sanctions pushed Russia’s coal exports eastwards. In 2023, China was the destination for 41% of Russian coal shipments.
Sanctions on Russia have added further pressure to logistics, culminating in lower effectiveness and reliability of railway transport since October 2023. Russian railway transport is reported to be challenged with difficulties in securing imports of spare parts such as specialized lubricants, proprietary bearings and electronic components. Efforts to circumvent this issue by replacing imports with domestic equipment have fallen short, as these substitutes are often of lower quality.
The overall impact of poor Russian logistics on the dry bulk market seems to be marginal, as global coal supply is ample. In the period since October 2023, global coal shipments have increased by 7% y/y despite the loss of Russian coal. Consequently, it seems that Russia is bearing the brunt of the impact.
The impact of lower coal shipments on sailing distances also seems to be residual. Shipments from Russia have below average sailing distance, but they have been replaced by shipments with similar distances.
Despite the obstacles that Russia is facing, the government seems determined to boost coal exports to China. Russia is working to increase coal mining and remove bottlenecks in their infrastructure. Two major railways in Siberia will be electrified and an agreement was reached to build a new railway bridge between Russia and China. If Russia is successful, exports over land to China could increase, replacing some of Russia’s coal shipments.
Even as Russia invests in infrastructure, it is possible that total coal exports to China will not significantly increase. The IEA estimates that China’s coal demand may have peaked in 2023, limiting further export growth. Furthermore, it might be difficult for Russia to find new trade partners amid sanctions and competition from other exporters such as Indonesia and Australia.
Source: BIMCO
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Tuesday, 17 January 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Rumor has it that the New Year has come, to set the pace in, for Russia to continue hostilities against Ukraine. Ten months on the go, into Russia& ...
Tuesday, 17 January 23
INDONESIA IS ACCOUNTING FOR 32.3% OF THE GLOBAL SEABORNE COAL MARKET IN 2022 - BENCHERO COSTA
After a slow start in the first quarter, global coal trade has really picked up pace last year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels, Benchero ...
Tuesday, 10 January 23
INDONESIAN HBA IS SEEING A SPIKE IN JANUARY 2023 INSTEAD OF A SIGNIFICANT FALL IN DECEMBER 2022
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference up 8.43% in January 2023.
HBA is seeing a dramatic spike in January 2023 i ...
Sunday, 08 January 23
INDIAN COAL POWER PLANTS SHOULD BE COMPENSATED FOR 2022 FORCED GENERATION – REGULATOR : REUTERS
Indian power plants that rely on imported coal should be fully compensated when forced to supply electricity, the country’s power regulator s ...
Sunday, 08 January 23
ELEVATED COAL PRICE A DRAG ON MARGINS OF DOMESTIC BASE METAL PLAYERS: ICRA
The increased price of coal continue to be a drag on the margin of domestic base metal players with no immediate relief in sight, rating agency ICR ...
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