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Tuesday, 24 November 09
ICRA DOWNGRADES TNPL`S RATING TO LAA
 Credit rating agency, ICRA has revised the long term rating for the Rs 11.25 billion long-term fund-based bank facilities and Rs 1.5 billion non-convertible debenture programme of Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers (TNPL) to LAA- from LAA.
ICRA has reaffirmed A1+ rating assigned to Rs 2.25 billion short-term fund-based and non-fund based bank facilities of TNPL.The rating outstanding for the Rs 100 million commercial paper (CP) programme has also been reaffirmed at A1+.
The revision in long term ratings takes into account the reduction in the profit and cash accruals of the company due to decline in sales volume during H1-2010.
The decline in sales is largely attributable to softening of paper prices in the export markets, with TNPL normally exporting 15% ~20% of its production. As a result of decline in sales and build up of finished goods inventory, the cash flows from operations have declined, thereby necessitating additional debt funding which has also resulted in higher interest expenses.
With the improvement in demand for PWP in the global markets exported by the company the company is expected to clear the excess inventory in the near term.
The ratings outstanding continue to be supported by consistently high level of operating performance; leading market position in Printing & Writing Paper (PWP) segment arising out of its large size, which also results in better economies of scale; diversified sales and distribution network; and self-sufficiency in majority of its raw material requirements.
The ratings are also supported by consistent improvement in operating profitability of the company arising out of improved product mix; stable Net Sales Realisation (NSR); softening in input costs such as coal and chemicals; and benefits of Mill Development Plan (MDP).
These strengths are however partially offset by the vulnerability of the company`s profitability to cyclicality in the paper business, import duty levels and possibility of temporary supply pressures arising out of large capacity addition planned by the industry.
Since TNPL meets a significant portion of energy and bagasse (TNPL swaps bagasse with steam/coal with sugar mills) requirements by importing coal, TNPL`s profitability is susceptibility to volatility in the international coal prices as witnessed during 2008-09.
While TNPL is expected to benefit on account of decline in international coal prices in the near term, the long term rating is also constrained by project execution risks.
TNPL, which has recently completed a debt funded MDP, is currently in the midst of executing a debt funded Mill Expansion Plan (MEP); any shortfall in internal accruals may necessitate higher then estimated debt funding.
As a result of increased working capital, shortfall in cash generation and ongoing MEP, ICRA expects, the company`s gearing level to increase and debt protection metrics to modestly weaken in the medium term;. Any further decline in the profitability, cash accruals and time/cost over runs on its MEP will be key rating sensitivities going forward.
Shares of the company gained Rs 0.15, or 0.19%, to settle at Rs 79.65. The total volume of shares traded was 6,453 at the BSE
Source: Myiris
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