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Saturday, 20 May 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 India is one of the world's largest coal producers and one of the world's largest importers of coal. The country uses coal mainly for power generation and is the third largest energy consumer, making it a vital commodity for India. According to Reuters, the country's coal demand for power generation is expected to be 821,000 kt in the focus year 2023-2024, an increase of 8% compared to last year.
Looking at India's seaborne coal imports, there is an increase of 19% from 2021 to 2022, with imports standing at 208,034.13 kt. This year, the country has already imported volumes equivalent to 37% of last year's imports, or 76,728.95 kt, a figure that is expected to rise further as we enter the second half of the year, and it is expected that more coal will be needed to meet the country's electricity demand. A closer look at quarterly coal imports shows that in 2021 and 2022, Q2 was the strongest period with 51,859.07 kt and 64,261.28 kt respectively. This makes sense as India's peak power season is in the summer months and stockpiling is needed to ensure energy security. On the steel front, the country is also experiencing growth in this industry. In 2023, India's steel demand is expected to be in the range of 130mmt -135mmt, about 6% higher than last year.
Taking a look at India's top importers, the top 4 are Indonesia, Australia, South Africa and Russia. As far as Indonesia is concerned, shipments to India have been increasing since 2021 and the trend is likely to continue. They totalled 49,417.93 kt in 2021, 86,675.97 kt in 2022 and currently stand at 31,530.67 kt for 2023, which is 36% of last year's imports. The same cannot be said for Australia and South Africa, as both countries' coal exports to India have been declining since 2021. Australia exported 68,003.09 kt in 2021, 55,440.31 kt in 2022 and 13,384.15 kt so far in 2023, 24% of last year's exports. South Africa exported 24,347.48 kt in 2021, 17,255.53 kt in 2022 and 9,230.68 kt so far in 2023, which is 53% of the 2022 volume, a remarkable figure, and the biggest amongst the top 4 exporters.
The same is true for Russia. India imported 6,987.85 kt in 2021, 18,941.25 kt in 2022, while imports so far stand at 9,523.40 kt, which is 50% of last year's imports. This could be explained by the traditionally lower price of South African coal compared to Australian coal, while Russian coal became more lucrative after the invasion of Ukraine.
The largest percentages of volume shipped to India this year compared to last are from South Africa and Russia, indicating a strong interest to continue on this path. This means that the demand for tonne miles is increasing, which in turn supports freight rates. The vessel types most used in this trade are Kamsarmax and Capesize. If the trend continues and India continues to import more coal from distant countries, rates for the trade may increase.
By Fotis Kanatas
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 02 January 23
CHINA’S COAL CONSUMPTION TO PEAK BY 2035: REPORT - REUTERS
China’s primary energy consumption is likely to peak at nearly 6.03 billion tonnes of standard coal between 2030 and 2035, refining giant Chi ...
Thursday, 29 December 22
INDIA'S COAL DEMAND LIKELY TO PEAK BETWEEN 2030-2035: MINISTER - ANI
The demand for coal in India will continue and is likely to peak between 2030-2035, Union Minister of Coal, Mines, and Parliamentary Affairs Pralha ...
Thursday, 29 December 22
RIO TINTO AND PARTNERS COULD RECEIVE AS MUCH AS $450M IN GOVERNMENT COMPENSATION FOR COAL PRICE CAP - THE GUARDIAN
Compensation payments for the Gladstone power plant remain the sticking point in the federal government’s coal price cap compensation negotia ...
Wednesday, 28 December 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) published a Global Trade Update on December 13th highlighting that global trade wou ...
Thursday, 22 December 22
RUSSIAN OIL EXPORTS CRATER BY 54% IN THE FIRST FULL WEEK OF THE EU'S EMBARGO AMID A SHORTAGE OF TANKERS WILLING TO CARRY CARGOES - BUSINESS INSIDER
Since the European Union imposed its seaborne crude sanctions, Russian oil exports have tumbled by more than half, according to data compiled by Bl ...
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- Australian Coal Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
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