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Saturday, 20 May 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 India is one of the world's largest coal producers and one of the world's largest importers of coal. The country uses coal mainly for power generation and is the third largest energy consumer, making it a vital commodity for India. According to Reuters, the country's coal demand for power generation is expected to be 821,000 kt in the focus year 2023-2024, an increase of 8% compared to last year.
Looking at India's seaborne coal imports, there is an increase of 19% from 2021 to 2022, with imports standing at 208,034.13 kt. This year, the country has already imported volumes equivalent to 37% of last year's imports, or 76,728.95 kt, a figure that is expected to rise further as we enter the second half of the year, and it is expected that more coal will be needed to meet the country's electricity demand. A closer look at quarterly coal imports shows that in 2021 and 2022, Q2 was the strongest period with 51,859.07 kt and 64,261.28 kt respectively. This makes sense as India's peak power season is in the summer months and stockpiling is needed to ensure energy security. On the steel front, the country is also experiencing growth in this industry. In 2023, India's steel demand is expected to be in the range of 130mmt -135mmt, about 6% higher than last year.
Taking a look at India's top importers, the top 4 are Indonesia, Australia, South Africa and Russia. As far as Indonesia is concerned, shipments to India have been increasing since 2021 and the trend is likely to continue. They totalled 49,417.93 kt in 2021, 86,675.97 kt in 2022 and currently stand at 31,530.67 kt for 2023, which is 36% of last year's imports. The same cannot be said for Australia and South Africa, as both countries' coal exports to India have been declining since 2021. Australia exported 68,003.09 kt in 2021, 55,440.31 kt in 2022 and 13,384.15 kt so far in 2023, 24% of last year's exports. South Africa exported 24,347.48 kt in 2021, 17,255.53 kt in 2022 and 9,230.68 kt so far in 2023, which is 53% of the 2022 volume, a remarkable figure, and the biggest amongst the top 4 exporters.
The same is true for Russia. India imported 6,987.85 kt in 2021, 18,941.25 kt in 2022, while imports so far stand at 9,523.40 kt, which is 50% of last year's imports. This could be explained by the traditionally lower price of South African coal compared to Australian coal, while Russian coal became more lucrative after the invasion of Ukraine.
The largest percentages of volume shipped to India this year compared to last are from South Africa and Russia, indicating a strong interest to continue on this path. This means that the demand for tonne miles is increasing, which in turn supports freight rates. The vessel types most used in this trade are Kamsarmax and Capesize. If the trend continues and India continues to import more coal from distant countries, rates for the trade may increase.
By Fotis Kanatas
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 11 March 19
SUPRAMAX: A 61,000 DWT VESSEL WAS BOOKED SINGAPORE FOR A TRIP VIA INDONESIA TO CHINA AT $10,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A faint glimmer of hope with the suggestion the market may have finally bottomed out, with owners attempting to resist further cuts in ...
Friday, 08 March 19
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 2.6 MILLION TONS OF AUSTRALIAN 5700 NAR COAL FOR FIVE YEARS
South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a tender for 520,000 MT of min. 5700 NAR coal of Australian origin to be burnt ...
Friday, 08 March 19
CHINA'S COAL DEMAND FORECAST TO DROP SLOWLY - YONHAP
China’s coal demand is expected to fall at a snail’s pace over the next 20 years due to the country’s preference for the cheap fo ...
Thursday, 07 March 19
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE PLUNGE TO LOWEST IN SEVEN MONTHS
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Wednesday, 06 March 19
KOSPO INVITES BIDS FOR 80,000 MT OF 3800 NCV COAL FOR 21 - 30 MARCH, 2019 LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 80,000 MT of min 3,800 kcal/kg NCV low calor ...
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The University of Queensland
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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