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Saturday, 20 May 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 India is one of the world's largest coal producers and one of the world's largest importers of coal. The country uses coal mainly for power generation and is the third largest energy consumer, making it a vital commodity for India. According to Reuters, the country's coal demand for power generation is expected to be 821,000 kt in the focus year 2023-2024, an increase of 8% compared to last year.
Looking at India's seaborne coal imports, there is an increase of 19% from 2021 to 2022, with imports standing at 208,034.13 kt. This year, the country has already imported volumes equivalent to 37% of last year's imports, or 76,728.95 kt, a figure that is expected to rise further as we enter the second half of the year, and it is expected that more coal will be needed to meet the country's electricity demand. A closer look at quarterly coal imports shows that in 2021 and 2022, Q2 was the strongest period with 51,859.07 kt and 64,261.28 kt respectively. This makes sense as India's peak power season is in the summer months and stockpiling is needed to ensure energy security. On the steel front, the country is also experiencing growth in this industry. In 2023, India's steel demand is expected to be in the range of 130mmt -135mmt, about 6% higher than last year.
Taking a look at India's top importers, the top 4 are Indonesia, Australia, South Africa and Russia. As far as Indonesia is concerned, shipments to India have been increasing since 2021 and the trend is likely to continue. They totalled 49,417.93 kt in 2021, 86,675.97 kt in 2022 and currently stand at 31,530.67 kt for 2023, which is 36% of last year's imports. The same cannot be said for Australia and South Africa, as both countries' coal exports to India have been declining since 2021. Australia exported 68,003.09 kt in 2021, 55,440.31 kt in 2022 and 13,384.15 kt so far in 2023, 24% of last year's exports. South Africa exported 24,347.48 kt in 2021, 17,255.53 kt in 2022 and 9,230.68 kt so far in 2023, which is 53% of the 2022 volume, a remarkable figure, and the biggest amongst the top 4 exporters.
The same is true for Russia. India imported 6,987.85 kt in 2021, 18,941.25 kt in 2022, while imports so far stand at 9,523.40 kt, which is 50% of last year's imports. This could be explained by the traditionally lower price of South African coal compared to Australian coal, while Russian coal became more lucrative after the invasion of Ukraine.
The largest percentages of volume shipped to India this year compared to last are from South Africa and Russia, indicating a strong interest to continue on this path. This means that the demand for tonne miles is increasing, which in turn supports freight rates. The vessel types most used in this trade are Kamsarmax and Capesize. If the trend continues and India continues to import more coal from distant countries, rates for the trade may increase.
By Fotis Kanatas
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 14 November 23
CHINA'S BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE TURNS AWAY FROM COAL - WOOD MACKENZIE
Ambitious, contentious and big spending, China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is 10 years old. In that time, China has splashed more than U ...
Friday, 10 November 23
THE COMMODITIES FEED: OIL UNDER PRESSURE - ING
Energy – Brent plummets
The oil market came under significant pressure yesterday. ICE Brent settled 4.19% lower on the day and ...
Friday, 10 November 23
COAL USE AT U.S. POWER PLANTS CONTINUES DOWNWARD SPIRAL; FULL IMPACT ON MINES TO BE FELT IN 2024 - IEEFA
This year, the use of coal by the U.S.’s power producers has been so anemic that the fuel has not achieved a 20% market share in any month so ...
Friday, 10 November 23
INDIA: NATIONAL COAL INDEX RISES 3.83 POINTS IN SEPTEMBER AMID HIGHER DEMAND - LIVEMINT
The National Coal Index (NCI) rose 3.83 points to 143.91 in September amid growing demand for coal.
The union coal ministry on Tuesd ...
Thursday, 09 November 23
WE'RE PRODUCING TOO MUCH COAL, OIL AND GAS, REPORT SAYS - WSJ
World leaders pledged in 2015 to reduce emissions in a combined effort to limit climate change.
Now they are stepping up production ...
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
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