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Tuesday, 17 January 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Rumor has it that the New Year has come, to set the pace in, for Russia to continue hostilities against Ukraine. Ten months on the go, into Russia’s latest invasion, the outcome of the war appears to be unclear. The Russian military seems incapable of taking either Kyiv or occupying major territories of the country. Ukrainian forces have gained success and could well continue to make progress in regaining field. The war also could settle into a more protract conflict, with neither side capable of making a decisive breakthrough in the near future.
In the past June, European Union decided to ban both seaborne imports of Russian oil and the provision of specific services derived from Russian oil shipments, in particular insurance and reinsurance industries which EU companies do dominate. The US authorities, which had already banned direct imports of Russian oil, shudder at the ban which would cause oil prices to spike by plunging most Russian exports.
Accordingly, States of great sovereignty, strived towards the tool of capping the price of Russian oil, aimed at pinching Russia’s reserves whilst avoiding a spike in oil prices. However, the mechanism’s high price ceiling and its inability to compel Russia’s affairs with Asia-top tier- customers, undermine its ability to deprive Moscow of substantial revenue and aggravate both political and economic issues against Ukraine.
When the West announced on December 2nd, that they had agreed on a $60 price cap on Russian oil exports, they proclaim it as a valiant achievement in energy stability. But one who thinks this would be a significant tap into Russian oil revenues—and the administration’s ability to fuel its war by bringing to heel Ukraine—was likely to be disappointed. The price cap agreed on by the European Union and quickly endorsed by the United States, G7, and Australia was not bold enough to significantly have an effect on Russian revenues or hamper the conduct of the war. After all, Russian oil has sold at prices in the $60 range for the last several years. Moreover, since Russia’s February invasion of Ukraine, global trades have already limited their offtake of Russian crude to some extent. When countries such as India and China snapped up the surplus, they negotiated steep discounts while the discount for Urals crude, the main Russian benchmark—nearly $40 per barrel compared with Brent oil in the early months of the war—slowly dropped into the low $20 per barrel range, allowing Moscow to continue thriving.
If the price cap starts to influence Russia, it could create political space for further actions by throbbing Russian energy revenues. This cap should not be considered as an off energy policy tool- if Russia continues to wage its war, hence same should be seen instead as an interim measure until the next set of energy restrictions are to be imposed, including a lower price cap level.
By Alexandros Christakoudis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 13 December 22
YANCOAL AUSTRALIA TO PREPAY $459 MLN DEBT AS RECORD COAL PRICES BOOST CASHFLOWS - REUTERS
Coal miner Yancoal Australia Ltd. said on Friday it intended to prepay $459 million of its debt on or around Dec. 16, as elevated coal prices were ...
Tuesday, 13 December 22
WHY COAL LEADS THE RISE IN COMMODITIES THIS YEAR - MARKETWATCH
This year marked a resurgence for coal, often known — and loathed — by environmentalists as the dirtiest energy source, with prices mor ...
Thursday, 08 December 22
BIMCO TO REVISE WAR RISK CLAUSES
Work to revise the BIMCO War Cancellation Clause 2004, the BIMCO War Risks Clause for Time Chartering 2013 (CONWARTIME 2013) and the BIMCO War Risk ...
Thursday, 08 December 22
COAL ROYALTY PAYMENTS BOOST AUSTRALIAN STATE'S BUDGET FORECAST - REUTERS
Australia’s Queensland state on Wednesday forecast a record surplus for the current financial year, largely driven by higher royalty payments ...
Wednesday, 07 December 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
China’s coal imports from January to October were 230.1m mt, a decrease of around 10.7% y-o-y (2021 totalled 323.2m mt). The question is if t ...
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- White Energy Company Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Planning Commission, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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