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Tuesday, 17 January 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Rumor has it that the New Year has come, to set the pace in, for Russia to continue hostilities against Ukraine. Ten months on the go, into Russia’s latest invasion, the outcome of the war appears to be unclear. The Russian military seems incapable of taking either Kyiv or occupying major territories of the country. Ukrainian forces have gained success and could well continue to make progress in regaining field. The war also could settle into a more protract conflict, with neither side capable of making a decisive breakthrough in the near future.
In the past June, European Union decided to ban both seaborne imports of Russian oil and the provision of specific services derived from Russian oil shipments, in particular insurance and reinsurance industries which EU companies do dominate. The US authorities, which had already banned direct imports of Russian oil, shudder at the ban which would cause oil prices to spike by plunging most Russian exports.
Accordingly, States of great sovereignty, strived towards the tool of capping the price of Russian oil, aimed at pinching Russia’s reserves whilst avoiding a spike in oil prices. However, the mechanism’s high price ceiling and its inability to compel Russia’s affairs with Asia-top tier- customers, undermine its ability to deprive Moscow of substantial revenue and aggravate both political and economic issues against Ukraine.
When the West announced on December 2nd, that they had agreed on a $60 price cap on Russian oil exports, they proclaim it as a valiant achievement in energy stability. But one who thinks this would be a significant tap into Russian oil revenues—and the administration’s ability to fuel its war by bringing to heel Ukraine—was likely to be disappointed. The price cap agreed on by the European Union and quickly endorsed by the United States, G7, and Australia was not bold enough to significantly have an effect on Russian revenues or hamper the conduct of the war. After all, Russian oil has sold at prices in the $60 range for the last several years. Moreover, since Russia’s February invasion of Ukraine, global trades have already limited their offtake of Russian crude to some extent. When countries such as India and China snapped up the surplus, they negotiated steep discounts while the discount for Urals crude, the main Russian benchmark—nearly $40 per barrel compared with Brent oil in the early months of the war—slowly dropped into the low $20 per barrel range, allowing Moscow to continue thriving.
If the price cap starts to influence Russia, it could create political space for further actions by throbbing Russian energy revenues. This cap should not be considered as an off energy policy tool- if Russia continues to wage its war, hence same should be seen instead as an interim measure until the next set of energy restrictions are to be imposed, including a lower price cap level.
By Alexandros Christakoudis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 01 December 23
COAL MINERS GROUP EXPECTS INDONESIA’S 2023 COAL OUTPUT TO SURPASS TARGET - REUTERS
The Indonesian Coal Mining Association (ICMA) expects the country’s 2023 coal output to surpass the official target of 695 million metric ton ...
Friday, 24 November 23
COAL IMPORTS TO INDIA IN OCTOBER 2023 REACHED HIGHEST LEVELS IN NEARLY A YEAR AND A HALF - VESSELSVALUE, VESON NAUTICAL
In October, coal imports to India reached 13.8 mt in October 2023, according to Oceanbolt, a Veson Nautical solution, the highest level since May 2 ...
Friday, 24 November 23
COAL SHIPMENTS TO ADVANCED ECONOMIES DOWN 17% SO FAR IN 2023 - BIMCO
In the first ten months of 2023, coal shipments to advanced economies fell by 17% y/y, as demand for electricity declined and the share of electric ...
Friday, 24 November 23
INTELLIGENT COAL MINES CONTRIBUTE TO IMPROVING SAFETY STANDARDS - CHINA DAILY
Mechanization, automation and intelligent upgrades have contributed to improved safety in coal mines, though the level of development of intelligen ...
Friday, 24 November 23
WHY AUSTRALIA'S COAL MINES ARE GETTING BIGGER - IEEFA
Australia’s largest coal mines are getting larger. Mines in New South Wales (NSW) are ramping up production following the state’s recov ...
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- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Economic Council, Georgia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
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