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Tuesday, 17 January 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Rumor has it that the New Year has come, to set the pace in, for Russia to continue hostilities against Ukraine. Ten months on the go, into Russia’s latest invasion, the outcome of the war appears to be unclear. The Russian military seems incapable of taking either Kyiv or occupying major territories of the country. Ukrainian forces have gained success and could well continue to make progress in regaining field. The war also could settle into a more protract conflict, with neither side capable of making a decisive breakthrough in the near future.
In the past June, European Union decided to ban both seaborne imports of Russian oil and the provision of specific services derived from Russian oil shipments, in particular insurance and reinsurance industries which EU companies do dominate. The US authorities, which had already banned direct imports of Russian oil, shudder at the ban which would cause oil prices to spike by plunging most Russian exports.
Accordingly, States of great sovereignty, strived towards the tool of capping the price of Russian oil, aimed at pinching Russia’s reserves whilst avoiding a spike in oil prices. However, the mechanism’s high price ceiling and its inability to compel Russia’s affairs with Asia-top tier- customers, undermine its ability to deprive Moscow of substantial revenue and aggravate both political and economic issues against Ukraine.
When the West announced on December 2nd, that they had agreed on a $60 price cap on Russian oil exports, they proclaim it as a valiant achievement in energy stability. But one who thinks this would be a significant tap into Russian oil revenues—and the administration’s ability to fuel its war by bringing to heel Ukraine—was likely to be disappointed. The price cap agreed on by the European Union and quickly endorsed by the United States, G7, and Australia was not bold enough to significantly have an effect on Russian revenues or hamper the conduct of the war. After all, Russian oil has sold at prices in the $60 range for the last several years. Moreover, since Russia’s February invasion of Ukraine, global trades have already limited their offtake of Russian crude to some extent. When countries such as India and China snapped up the surplus, they negotiated steep discounts while the discount for Urals crude, the main Russian benchmark—nearly $40 per barrel compared with Brent oil in the early months of the war—slowly dropped into the low $20 per barrel range, allowing Moscow to continue thriving.
If the price cap starts to influence Russia, it could create political space for further actions by throbbing Russian energy revenues. This cap should not be considered as an off energy policy tool- if Russia continues to wage its war, hence same should be seen instead as an interim measure until the next set of energy restrictions are to be imposed, including a lower price cap level.
By Alexandros Christakoudis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 06 September 24
REBOUND IN OIL DEMAND COULD LIFT MARKET IN LATTER HALF OF 2024 - BIMCO
Supply/demand
Based on a strong second half demand, the supply/balance is forecast to strengthen in 2024 but weaken slightly in 2025 as n ...
Friday, 06 September 24
GLOBAL SEABORNE LNG TRADE HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE LAST YEAR - BANCHERO COSTA
Global seaborne LNG trade has continued to increase last year, helped also by the events in Ukraine which forced Europe to diversify away from Russ ...
Wednesday, 28 August 24
SEABORNE COAL IMPORTS INTO INDIA INCREASED BY +9.9% Y-O-Y TO 146.6 MLN T - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace over the past year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels said Banchero Costa Research in its lates ...
Tuesday, 06 August 24
EXERCISE CAUTION WITH AMMONIA SWITCH - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A new study from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) has thrown a spanner into the plan to transition ships from diesel fuel to ammonia ...
Friday, 02 August 24
ENERGY MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: COAL AND NATURAL GAS PRICES REACH RECORD HIGHS - WORLD BANK
The recent surge in natural gas and coal prices has been so swift that the main benchmarks were roughly three times higher in 2022Q2 compared to a ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
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- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
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- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
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- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
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