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Thursday, 22 December 22
COAL AND GAS PRICE CAPS MAY COMPOUND POLITICAL RISK FOR AUSTRALIAN CORPORATES - FITCH RATINGS
 Australia’s introduction of temporary price caps on domestic sales of gas and coal used for electricity generation will probably have limited direct near-term credit impact for energy-sector issuers rated by Fitch Ratings, according to the agency. However, the caps highlight that energy companies face mounting political risks that could influence investor perceptions of the sector and capex plans over the long term.
The caps have been proposed for 12 months, but even if they are extended, the direct impact should generally be limited if prices for coal and gas fall over the coming years, in line with Fitch’s base-case assumptions.
The near-term impact on Australian thermal coal miners’ financial profiles will be further mitigated, as typically around 80% of the thermal coal produced in the country is exported, and therefore is not subject to the cap.
The natural gas sector will be more exposed, as domestic demand accounts for a larger share of supply. Santos (BBB/Stable) and Woodside Energy Group (BBB+/Stable) are large suppliers of gas to the domestic market. Such sales account for more than 40% of Santos’s gas production, but we estimate that only around 15% of total production goes to the east coast markets that are exposed to the price cap.
Woodside’s domestic gas sales, including pipeline gas from the NWS Project, Pluto and Wheatstone, account for less than 6% of its gas production, with the rest exported as LNG. For both companies, most gas is already produced under long-term contracts, which will be unaffected by the caps, limiting the near-term impact. The proportion of output affected could nonetheless rise over time if the caps are extended beyond 12 months.
The prevalence of long-term supply contracts will also reduce the impact of the caps for most domestic electricity and gas retailers, including Origin Energy (BBB/Stable). If global energy prices remain high, it is possible that the caps could offer a competitive advantage to some retailers that rely more on short-term supply contracts. That said, the superior sourcing ability and flexibility in contracts should limit downside risks for large retailers. For electricity sales, the highest-cost power generator generally determines the wholesale energy market price, and we anticipate a neutral to marginally positive financial effect for entities like Origin that have flexibility in their generation portfolio.
The price caps will add to a perception that Australia’s mining sector faces mounting political risk, even though we do not believe they will have a major impact on Fitch-rated issuers in the near term. For example, the government has announced plans to implement a new system to protect sites important to Australia’s indigenous peoples. Firms in the sector, as in other parts of the world, also face political risks associated with official efforts to promote the transition to renewable energy sources.
Mounting political risk may influence investors’ perceptions of the sector, and therefore the terms on which companies are able to access finance. This could also have ramifications for M&A plans or long-term capex strategies. Nonetheless, it is likely to take time to assess the impact, which may also be offset by other market developments.
Australia’s parliament on 16 December passed legislation empowering the government to regulate gas prices, alongside an AUD1.5 billion relief package for firms and households. It remains unclear how the relief package will affect power and gas market dynamics, but we expect its impact to be temporary. The authorities plan to cap domestic gas prices at AUD12 per gigajoule. Domestic thermal coal sales prices in New South Wales and Queensland will also be capped at AUD125 per tonne.
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Wednesday, 05 January 22
INDONESIA WARNS COAL SUPPLY CRUNCH NOT OVER AS CHINA PRICES RALLY - REUTERS
Indonesia has warned that its coal supply situation remains critical, ahead of Wednesday’s (Jan 5) review of its export ban, unnerving global ...
Tuesday, 28 December 21
INDIA'S ADANI NEARS FIRST COAL SHIPMENT FROM SHUNNED AUSTRALIAN MINE - REUTERS
India’s Adani Group ADEL.NS is preparing to ship the first coal cargo from Australia’s most controversial mine, after battling a seven- ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
COAL TO STAY AS MAJOR SOURCE OF ENERGY IN FORESEEABLE FUTURE: JOSHI - BUSINESS STANDARD
Coal will stay as a major source of energy in the foreseeable future as it is an affordable source of energy with substantial reserve, Parliament w ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
ANNUAL U.S. COAL-FIRED ELECTRICITY GENERATION WILL INCREASE FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE 2014 - EIA
From December 20 through December 30, Today in Energy will feature some of our favorite articles from 2021. Today’s article was originally pu ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
COAL DEMAND TO PEAK IN INDIA BY 2030, WILL BACK UP RENEWABLES: NITI REPORT - BUSINESS STANDARD
Coal will remain India’s mainstay energy source and the country will shape global demand this decade, two reports have said a month after the ...
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- White Energy Company Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Planning Commission, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The University of Queensland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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