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Monday, 31 October 22
U.S. COAL-FIRED GENERATION DECLINING AFTER BRIEF RISE LAST YEAR - EIA
.jpg) We expect 6% less U.S. coal-fired generation in 2022 than in 2021, according to our latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Although coal-fired generation declined each year between 2014 and 2020, it rose 16% in 2021 as a result of increased electricity demand and higher natural gas prices following the pandemic. Despite natural gas prices remaining high, coal-fired generation has continued its previous trend of decline this year as a result of constrained coal supply.
Coal and natural gas are two of the most prevalent sources of power generation in the United States. Natural gas-fired power plants that use modern combined-cycle technology can compete effectively with coal-fired generation because they operate with 30% to 35% greater efficiency. This difference affects relative fuel costs between coal and natural gas and the substitution between the two fuels.
Between 2020 and 2021, the delivered cost of natural gas for power generators nearly doubled while the delivered cost of coal grew by only 3%. The increase in natural gas prices caused the share of total natural gas-fired generation to fall to 37% in 2021 from 39% in 2020. In contrast, coal-fired generation increased in 2021 for the first time since 2014 and averaged 23% of U.S. generation, up from 20% in 2020.
The cost of delivering fuel to coal-fired and natural gas-fired generators depends on a wide variety of factors. Wholesale power prices are generally set by the price of natural gas, and natural gas prices have been volatile throughout most of 2022. Compared with coal-fired generators, costs for natural gas-fired generators are more dynamic. Natural gas is bought mostly in the daily, monthly, and seasonal markets to align fuel needs with power sales, which can be highly uncertain. Costs for coal-fired generators are more static because delivered coal prices are mostly based on long-term contracts and remain relatively steady for longer periods. So far this year, as reported to EIA, the delivered price of natural gas has increased more in percentage terms than the delivered price of coal, but natural gas prices for generators may decrease substantially in the fourth quarter.
Despite higher natural gas prices in 2022, we expect natural gas-fired generation will increase slightly this year, and its share of annual U.S. generation will increase from 37% to 38%. The electric power sector is not moving away from natural gas as we expected previously because coal-fired power plants, which have historically acted as a substitute for natural gas generation, have not been receiving enough coal to meet demand. We expect coal production to increase by less than 2% during 2022, and we expect much of that gain to be exported. We expect that the share of generation provided by coal will return to 20% in 2022, down from 23% last year.
Most coal is delivered to power plants by railroads in the United States, which have encountered a number of disruptions this year. Although U.S. coal inventories have been declining in recent years as coal-fired generators have retired, the limitations on coal deliveries have further constrained generators’ ability to replenish stocks and increase generation. During the first seven months of 2022, coal inventories at power plants averaged 23% lower than in 2021.
Source: EIA
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Thursday, 17 February 22
APAC THERMAL COAL PRICES TO EASE ON END OF INDONESIA EXPORT BAN - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings-Shanghai/Singapore-14 February 2022: APAC thermal coal prices are likely to come under pressure in the near term due to seasonally we ...
Tuesday, 15 February 22
IS ANOTHER COAL SHORTAGE CRISIS LOOMING OVER INDIA? - BUSINESS STANDARD
In December last year, the Federation of Indian Mineral Industries (FIMI) shot off a letter to the Prime Minister claiming that the coal crisis was ...
Tuesday, 15 February 22
THERMAL COAL'S RECORD PRICE RUN MAY END UP ITS OWN WORST ENEMY - REUTERS
The price of benchmark Australian thermal coal rose last week to trade near record highs, providing a short-term boost to producers but increasing ...
Thursday, 10 February 22
INDONESIA: COAL EXPORT BAN - SKULD
Indonesia's coal export ban in the light of force majeure and off-hire clauses
In January 2022, Indonesia, the world's biggest exporte ...
Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three ...
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Planning Commission, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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