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Monday, 31 October 22
U.S. COAL-FIRED GENERATION DECLINING AFTER BRIEF RISE LAST YEAR - EIA
.jpg) We expect 6% less U.S. coal-fired generation in 2022 than in 2021, according to our latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Although coal-fired generation declined each year between 2014 and 2020, it rose 16% in 2021 as a result of increased electricity demand and higher natural gas prices following the pandemic. Despite natural gas prices remaining high, coal-fired generation has continued its previous trend of decline this year as a result of constrained coal supply.
Coal and natural gas are two of the most prevalent sources of power generation in the United States. Natural gas-fired power plants that use modern combined-cycle technology can compete effectively with coal-fired generation because they operate with 30% to 35% greater efficiency. This difference affects relative fuel costs between coal and natural gas and the substitution between the two fuels.
Between 2020 and 2021, the delivered cost of natural gas for power generators nearly doubled while the delivered cost of coal grew by only 3%. The increase in natural gas prices caused the share of total natural gas-fired generation to fall to 37% in 2021 from 39% in 2020. In contrast, coal-fired generation increased in 2021 for the first time since 2014 and averaged 23% of U.S. generation, up from 20% in 2020.
The cost of delivering fuel to coal-fired and natural gas-fired generators depends on a wide variety of factors. Wholesale power prices are generally set by the price of natural gas, and natural gas prices have been volatile throughout most of 2022. Compared with coal-fired generators, costs for natural gas-fired generators are more dynamic. Natural gas is bought mostly in the daily, monthly, and seasonal markets to align fuel needs with power sales, which can be highly uncertain. Costs for coal-fired generators are more static because delivered coal prices are mostly based on long-term contracts and remain relatively steady for longer periods. So far this year, as reported to EIA, the delivered price of natural gas has increased more in percentage terms than the delivered price of coal, but natural gas prices for generators may decrease substantially in the fourth quarter.
Despite higher natural gas prices in 2022, we expect natural gas-fired generation will increase slightly this year, and its share of annual U.S. generation will increase from 37% to 38%. The electric power sector is not moving away from natural gas as we expected previously because coal-fired power plants, which have historically acted as a substitute for natural gas generation, have not been receiving enough coal to meet demand. We expect coal production to increase by less than 2% during 2022, and we expect much of that gain to be exported. We expect that the share of generation provided by coal will return to 20% in 2022, down from 23% last year.
Most coal is delivered to power plants by railroads in the United States, which have encountered a number of disruptions this year. Although U.S. coal inventories have been declining in recent years as coal-fired generators have retired, the limitations on coal deliveries have further constrained generators’ ability to replenish stocks and increase generation. During the first seven months of 2022, coal inventories at power plants averaged 23% lower than in 2021.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 06 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Following the 3rd Decarbonizing Shipping Forum, held in Hamburg on June 2022, there has been a meaningful resurgence of discussions within the ship ...
Tuesday, 05 July 22
WHY ARE VLSFO PRICES SO HIGH, ESPECIALLY IN SINGAPORE? - STEVE CHRISTY, INTEGR8 FUELS
Tightness in products still trumps talks of recession
Last month we wrote about the fears of recession versus the tightness in product markets ...
Tuesday, 05 July 22
ADANI ENTERPRISES LOWEST BIDDER IN COAL INDIA'S IMPORT TENDER: REPORT - BUSINESS STANDARD
Coal India Ltd floated its first import tender on behalf of power companies, where Adani Enterprises Ltd came out to be the lowest bidder, a report ...
Tuesday, 05 July 22
CHINA POLICY KEY FOR IRON ORE OUTLOOK - ING
China’s covid lockdowns and recessionary risks hit iron ore
Iron ore prices have fallen significantly from their year-to-date high of US$ ...
Monday, 04 July 22
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE SLIGHTLY DOWN IN JULY
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference for July delivery drops 1.52 per cent month on month.
The Indonesian Coal Price Refere ...
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Coal Association
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
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