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Monday, 31 October 22
U.S. COAL-FIRED GENERATION DECLINING AFTER BRIEF RISE LAST YEAR - EIA
.jpg) We expect 6% less U.S. coal-fired generation in 2022 than in 2021, according to our latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Although coal-fired generation declined each year between 2014 and 2020, it rose 16% in 2021 as a result of increased electricity demand and higher natural gas prices following the pandemic. Despite natural gas prices remaining high, coal-fired generation has continued its previous trend of decline this year as a result of constrained coal supply.
Coal and natural gas are two of the most prevalent sources of power generation in the United States. Natural gas-fired power plants that use modern combined-cycle technology can compete effectively with coal-fired generation because they operate with 30% to 35% greater efficiency. This difference affects relative fuel costs between coal and natural gas and the substitution between the two fuels.
Between 2020 and 2021, the delivered cost of natural gas for power generators nearly doubled while the delivered cost of coal grew by only 3%. The increase in natural gas prices caused the share of total natural gas-fired generation to fall to 37% in 2021 from 39% in 2020. In contrast, coal-fired generation increased in 2021 for the first time since 2014 and averaged 23% of U.S. generation, up from 20% in 2020.
The cost of delivering fuel to coal-fired and natural gas-fired generators depends on a wide variety of factors. Wholesale power prices are generally set by the price of natural gas, and natural gas prices have been volatile throughout most of 2022. Compared with coal-fired generators, costs for natural gas-fired generators are more dynamic. Natural gas is bought mostly in the daily, monthly, and seasonal markets to align fuel needs with power sales, which can be highly uncertain. Costs for coal-fired generators are more static because delivered coal prices are mostly based on long-term contracts and remain relatively steady for longer periods. So far this year, as reported to EIA, the delivered price of natural gas has increased more in percentage terms than the delivered price of coal, but natural gas prices for generators may decrease substantially in the fourth quarter.
Despite higher natural gas prices in 2022, we expect natural gas-fired generation will increase slightly this year, and its share of annual U.S. generation will increase from 37% to 38%. The electric power sector is not moving away from natural gas as we expected previously because coal-fired power plants, which have historically acted as a substitute for natural gas generation, have not been receiving enough coal to meet demand. We expect coal production to increase by less than 2% during 2022, and we expect much of that gain to be exported. We expect that the share of generation provided by coal will return to 20% in 2022, down from 23% last year.
Most coal is delivered to power plants by railroads in the United States, which have encountered a number of disruptions this year. Although U.S. coal inventories have been declining in recent years as coal-fired generators have retired, the limitations on coal deliveries have further constrained generators’ ability to replenish stocks and increase generation. During the first seven months of 2022, coal inventories at power plants averaged 23% lower than in 2021.
Source: EIA
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Tuesday, 19 July 22
WHY SHIPPING MIGHT BE ABOUT TO GET A LITTLE BIT SLOWER - WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
If shipping is the beating heart of global trade, its pulse is about to get slower.
Faced with uncertainty about which fuels to use in the long ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
GERMANY'S INCREASED COAL, OIL USE WILL BE TEMPORARY, SCHOLZ SAYS - CNBC
Chancellor Olaf Scholz says Germany’s decision to reactivate coal and oil-fired power plants to relieve energy shortages because of the war i ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
INDONESIA REMOVES PALM OIL EXPORT LEVY UNTIL AUG. 31 - REUTERS
Indonesia has scrapped its export levy for all palm oil products until Aug. 31 in a fresh attempt to boost exports and ease high inventories, finan ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
CHINA'S JUNE DAILY COAL OUTPUT JUMPS ON PEAK SUMMER DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s daily coal output in June rose 6.6 per cent from a month earlier as miners cranked up output ahead of peak summer temperatures, when ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
SEEING RED? - WOOD MACKENZIE
What a Republican mid-term victory could mean for US energy and climate policy
According to current polling the Republican Party has ...
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
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