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Monday, 31 October 22
U.S. COAL-FIRED GENERATION DECLINING AFTER BRIEF RISE LAST YEAR - EIA
.jpg) We expect 6% less U.S. coal-fired generation in 2022 than in 2021, according to our latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Although coal-fired generation declined each year between 2014 and 2020, it rose 16% in 2021 as a result of increased electricity demand and higher natural gas prices following the pandemic. Despite natural gas prices remaining high, coal-fired generation has continued its previous trend of decline this year as a result of constrained coal supply.
Coal and natural gas are two of the most prevalent sources of power generation in the United States. Natural gas-fired power plants that use modern combined-cycle technology can compete effectively with coal-fired generation because they operate with 30% to 35% greater efficiency. This difference affects relative fuel costs between coal and natural gas and the substitution between the two fuels.
Between 2020 and 2021, the delivered cost of natural gas for power generators nearly doubled while the delivered cost of coal grew by only 3%. The increase in natural gas prices caused the share of total natural gas-fired generation to fall to 37% in 2021 from 39% in 2020. In contrast, coal-fired generation increased in 2021 for the first time since 2014 and averaged 23% of U.S. generation, up from 20% in 2020.
The cost of delivering fuel to coal-fired and natural gas-fired generators depends on a wide variety of factors. Wholesale power prices are generally set by the price of natural gas, and natural gas prices have been volatile throughout most of 2022. Compared with coal-fired generators, costs for natural gas-fired generators are more dynamic. Natural gas is bought mostly in the daily, monthly, and seasonal markets to align fuel needs with power sales, which can be highly uncertain. Costs for coal-fired generators are more static because delivered coal prices are mostly based on long-term contracts and remain relatively steady for longer periods. So far this year, as reported to EIA, the delivered price of natural gas has increased more in percentage terms than the delivered price of coal, but natural gas prices for generators may decrease substantially in the fourth quarter.
Despite higher natural gas prices in 2022, we expect natural gas-fired generation will increase slightly this year, and its share of annual U.S. generation will increase from 37% to 38%. The electric power sector is not moving away from natural gas as we expected previously because coal-fired power plants, which have historically acted as a substitute for natural gas generation, have not been receiving enough coal to meet demand. We expect coal production to increase by less than 2% during 2022, and we expect much of that gain to be exported. We expect that the share of generation provided by coal will return to 20% in 2022, down from 23% last year.
Most coal is delivered to power plants by railroads in the United States, which have encountered a number of disruptions this year. Although U.S. coal inventories have been declining in recent years as coal-fired generators have retired, the limitations on coal deliveries have further constrained generators’ ability to replenish stocks and increase generation. During the first seven months of 2022, coal inventories at power plants averaged 23% lower than in 2021.
Source: EIA
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Thursday, 30 June 22
WHY ARE LNG SHIPPING STOCKS RESILIENT? - DREWRY
LNG shipping stocks are proving resilient despite uncertainties about growth in global GDP, high inflation and the ongoing geopolitical crisis caus ...
Thursday, 30 June 22
SPOT AUSTRALIAN THERMAL COAL HAS SURGED, BUT CONTRACT PRICE IS KEY - REUTERS
The spot price of Australian thermal coal is higher than that of coking coal, an unprecedented situation that highlights just how the global market ...
Thursday, 30 June 22
SHANXI PROVINCE RAISES ANNUAL COAL OUTPUT TO 1.3 BILLION TONS TO ENSURE CHINA’S ENERGY SUPPLY - GLOBAL TIMES
North China’s Shanxi Province, a major coal-producing region, recently announced a move to increase its annual coal production output by 107 ...
Thursday, 30 June 22
DIVERGENCE BETWEEN HIGH- AND LOW-GRADE THERMAL COAL PRICES IN APAC TO NARROW - FITCH RATINGS
Prices between high- and low-grade thermal coal in Asia-Pacific (APAC) have diverged since late March 2022, but Fitch Ratings expects the gap to na ...
Thursday, 30 June 22
INVESTMENT IN GLOBAL COAL SUPPLY CHAIN TO HIT $115 BN IN 2022, LED BY CHINA AND INDIA - BUSINESS LINE
At over $80 billion, China and India are anticipated to make up the bulk of global coal investment in 2022, says IEA.
The investment ...
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- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
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- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
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- The University of Queensland
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
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- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PTC India Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
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- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
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- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
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- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
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- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
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- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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