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Monday, 31 October 22
U.S. COAL-FIRED GENERATION DECLINING AFTER BRIEF RISE LAST YEAR - EIA
.jpg) We expect 6% less U.S. coal-fired generation in 2022 than in 2021, according to our latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Although coal-fired generation declined each year between 2014 and 2020, it rose 16% in 2021 as a result of increased electricity demand and higher natural gas prices following the pandemic. Despite natural gas prices remaining high, coal-fired generation has continued its previous trend of decline this year as a result of constrained coal supply.
Coal and natural gas are two of the most prevalent sources of power generation in the United States. Natural gas-fired power plants that use modern combined-cycle technology can compete effectively with coal-fired generation because they operate with 30% to 35% greater efficiency. This difference affects relative fuel costs between coal and natural gas and the substitution between the two fuels.
Between 2020 and 2021, the delivered cost of natural gas for power generators nearly doubled while the delivered cost of coal grew by only 3%. The increase in natural gas prices caused the share of total natural gas-fired generation to fall to 37% in 2021 from 39% in 2020. In contrast, coal-fired generation increased in 2021 for the first time since 2014 and averaged 23% of U.S. generation, up from 20% in 2020.
The cost of delivering fuel to coal-fired and natural gas-fired generators depends on a wide variety of factors. Wholesale power prices are generally set by the price of natural gas, and natural gas prices have been volatile throughout most of 2022. Compared with coal-fired generators, costs for natural gas-fired generators are more dynamic. Natural gas is bought mostly in the daily, monthly, and seasonal markets to align fuel needs with power sales, which can be highly uncertain. Costs for coal-fired generators are more static because delivered coal prices are mostly based on long-term contracts and remain relatively steady for longer periods. So far this year, as reported to EIA, the delivered price of natural gas has increased more in percentage terms than the delivered price of coal, but natural gas prices for generators may decrease substantially in the fourth quarter.
Despite higher natural gas prices in 2022, we expect natural gas-fired generation will increase slightly this year, and its share of annual U.S. generation will increase from 37% to 38%. The electric power sector is not moving away from natural gas as we expected previously because coal-fired power plants, which have historically acted as a substitute for natural gas generation, have not been receiving enough coal to meet demand. We expect coal production to increase by less than 2% during 2022, and we expect much of that gain to be exported. We expect that the share of generation provided by coal will return to 20% in 2022, down from 23% last year.
Most coal is delivered to power plants by railroads in the United States, which have encountered a number of disruptions this year. Although U.S. coal inventories have been declining in recent years as coal-fired generators have retired, the limitations on coal deliveries have further constrained generators’ ability to replenish stocks and increase generation. During the first seven months of 2022, coal inventories at power plants averaged 23% lower than in 2021.
Source: EIA
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Friday, 18 November 22
REALITIES OF LOI LIABILITIES - BALTIC EXCHANGE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The cargo misdelivery claim in Trafigura Maritime Logistics Pte Ltd v. Clearlake Shipping Pte Ltd (Miracle Hope) [2022] E ...
Tuesday, 15 November 22
CHINA SEES RISING COAL STORAGE AMID SUPPLY PUSH - XINHUA
Coal stockpiles at China’s power plants have seen considerable increases, ensuring energy supply for the winter, the country’s energy r ...
Tuesday, 15 November 22
SEABORNE THERMAL COAL PRICES START TO EASE, BUT PROCESS IS UNEVEN - REUTERS
Prices for seaborne thermal coal have started to drop as fears of a winter energy crunch ease, but the rate of decline has varied across the differ ...
Thursday, 10 November 22
INDIA: THERMAL PLANTS HAVE ADEQUATE COAL STOCKS AT 25.6 MILLION TONNES, SAYS GOVT - IANS
The coal stock with domestic dry fuel-based power plants, as on October 31, was 25.6 million tonnes, the government said, adding that the availabil ...
Tuesday, 08 November 22
OUTLOOK ON CHINA’S WEAKENED BASIC MATERIALS SECTOR CLOUDED BY POLICY SWINGS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings expects basic materials demand in China to improve qoq in 4Q22, driven by seasonally higher construction activity, solid infrastructu ...
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PTC India Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
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