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Monday, 31 October 22
U.S. COAL-FIRED GENERATION DECLINING AFTER BRIEF RISE LAST YEAR - EIA
.jpg) We expect 6% less U.S. coal-fired generation in 2022 than in 2021, according to our latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Although coal-fired generation declined each year between 2014 and 2020, it rose 16% in 2021 as a result of increased electricity demand and higher natural gas prices following the pandemic. Despite natural gas prices remaining high, coal-fired generation has continued its previous trend of decline this year as a result of constrained coal supply.
Coal and natural gas are two of the most prevalent sources of power generation in the United States. Natural gas-fired power plants that use modern combined-cycle technology can compete effectively with coal-fired generation because they operate with 30% to 35% greater efficiency. This difference affects relative fuel costs between coal and natural gas and the substitution between the two fuels.
Between 2020 and 2021, the delivered cost of natural gas for power generators nearly doubled while the delivered cost of coal grew by only 3%. The increase in natural gas prices caused the share of total natural gas-fired generation to fall to 37% in 2021 from 39% in 2020. In contrast, coal-fired generation increased in 2021 for the first time since 2014 and averaged 23% of U.S. generation, up from 20% in 2020.
The cost of delivering fuel to coal-fired and natural gas-fired generators depends on a wide variety of factors. Wholesale power prices are generally set by the price of natural gas, and natural gas prices have been volatile throughout most of 2022. Compared with coal-fired generators, costs for natural gas-fired generators are more dynamic. Natural gas is bought mostly in the daily, monthly, and seasonal markets to align fuel needs with power sales, which can be highly uncertain. Costs for coal-fired generators are more static because delivered coal prices are mostly based on long-term contracts and remain relatively steady for longer periods. So far this year, as reported to EIA, the delivered price of natural gas has increased more in percentage terms than the delivered price of coal, but natural gas prices for generators may decrease substantially in the fourth quarter.
Despite higher natural gas prices in 2022, we expect natural gas-fired generation will increase slightly this year, and its share of annual U.S. generation will increase from 37% to 38%. The electric power sector is not moving away from natural gas as we expected previously because coal-fired power plants, which have historically acted as a substitute for natural gas generation, have not been receiving enough coal to meet demand. We expect coal production to increase by less than 2% during 2022, and we expect much of that gain to be exported. We expect that the share of generation provided by coal will return to 20% in 2022, down from 23% last year.
Most coal is delivered to power plants by railroads in the United States, which have encountered a number of disruptions this year. Although U.S. coal inventories have been declining in recent years as coal-fired generators have retired, the limitations on coal deliveries have further constrained generators’ ability to replenish stocks and increase generation. During the first seven months of 2022, coal inventories at power plants averaged 23% lower than in 2021.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 19 October 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The LNG market remains extremely tight, and as a result adding further pressure on the vessel charter market, which is already stretched due to the ...
Sunday, 16 October 22
COULD A RETURN TO SHALE EXPLORATION BE PART OF THE SOLUTION TO EUROPE'S GAS SUPPLY PROBLEM? - WOOD MACKENZIE
The European gas market is in turmoil. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has shaken things up, triggering a complete rethink of European energy st ...
Thursday, 13 October 22
THERMAL COAL PRICES RETREAT AS WINTER SUPPLY FEARS EASE - REUTERS
The prices of key thermal seaborne coal grades are retreating amid signs that supplies will be sufficient to meet winter demand in both Europe and ...
Thursday, 13 October 22
SPOT COAL BIDDING: CHINESE FIRM WANTS REVISED MECHANISM - BUSINESS RECORDER
Chinese company M/s Huaneng Shandong Ruyi (Pakistan) Energy Limited (HSR) has cautioned National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra) that i ...
Thursday, 13 October 22
OPEC DOWNGRADES CRUDE OIL DEMAND, AS WORLD ECONOMY ENTERS SLOWDOWN
Crude Oil Price Movements
The OPEC Reference Basket (ORB) declined m-o-m by $6.58 in September, or 6.5%, to average $95.32/b. Pressure from equ ...
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- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The University of Queensland
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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