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Monday, 31 October 22
U.S. COAL-FIRED GENERATION DECLINING AFTER BRIEF RISE LAST YEAR - EIA
.jpg) We expect 6% less U.S. coal-fired generation in 2022 than in 2021, according to our latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Although coal-fired generation declined each year between 2014 and 2020, it rose 16% in 2021 as a result of increased electricity demand and higher natural gas prices following the pandemic. Despite natural gas prices remaining high, coal-fired generation has continued its previous trend of decline this year as a result of constrained coal supply.
Coal and natural gas are two of the most prevalent sources of power generation in the United States. Natural gas-fired power plants that use modern combined-cycle technology can compete effectively with coal-fired generation because they operate with 30% to 35% greater efficiency. This difference affects relative fuel costs between coal and natural gas and the substitution between the two fuels.
Between 2020 and 2021, the delivered cost of natural gas for power generators nearly doubled while the delivered cost of coal grew by only 3%. The increase in natural gas prices caused the share of total natural gas-fired generation to fall to 37% in 2021 from 39% in 2020. In contrast, coal-fired generation increased in 2021 for the first time since 2014 and averaged 23% of U.S. generation, up from 20% in 2020.
The cost of delivering fuel to coal-fired and natural gas-fired generators depends on a wide variety of factors. Wholesale power prices are generally set by the price of natural gas, and natural gas prices have been volatile throughout most of 2022. Compared with coal-fired generators, costs for natural gas-fired generators are more dynamic. Natural gas is bought mostly in the daily, monthly, and seasonal markets to align fuel needs with power sales, which can be highly uncertain. Costs for coal-fired generators are more static because delivered coal prices are mostly based on long-term contracts and remain relatively steady for longer periods. So far this year, as reported to EIA, the delivered price of natural gas has increased more in percentage terms than the delivered price of coal, but natural gas prices for generators may decrease substantially in the fourth quarter.
Despite higher natural gas prices in 2022, we expect natural gas-fired generation will increase slightly this year, and its share of annual U.S. generation will increase from 37% to 38%. The electric power sector is not moving away from natural gas as we expected previously because coal-fired power plants, which have historically acted as a substitute for natural gas generation, have not been receiving enough coal to meet demand. We expect coal production to increase by less than 2% during 2022, and we expect much of that gain to be exported. We expect that the share of generation provided by coal will return to 20% in 2022, down from 23% last year.
Most coal is delivered to power plants by railroads in the United States, which have encountered a number of disruptions this year. Although U.S. coal inventories have been declining in recent years as coal-fired generators have retired, the limitations on coal deliveries have further constrained generators’ ability to replenish stocks and increase generation. During the first seven months of 2022, coal inventories at power plants averaged 23% lower than in 2021.
Source: EIA
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Saturday, 18 February 23
PAKISTAN PLANS TO QUADRUPLE DOMESTIC COAL-FIRED POWER, MOVE AWAY FROM GAS - REUTERS
Pakistan plans to quadruple its domestic coal-fired capacity to reduce power generation costs and will not build new gas-fired plants in the coming ...
Saturday, 18 February 23
2023 MARINE FUEL MARKET PREDICTIONS - JOHN BERGMAN, AURAMARINE
The drive for decarbonisation we witnessed in 2022 has continued into 2023, demonstrating the shipping’s industry positive strides in the fas ...
Saturday, 28 January 23
COAL GROWTH BLIP NOT TO BE REPEATED - BALTIC EXCHANGE
As 2022 drew to a close, global coal demand looked set to end the year just 1.2% up on the previous year. But that small increase was enough to pus ...
Thursday, 26 January 23
CHINA'S COAL OUTPUT INCREASES IN DECEMBER 2022 - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output posted stable expansion in December 2022, official data showed.
The country produced 400 million tonne ...
Thursday, 26 January 23
COKING COAL NARROWS THE GAP ON THERMAL AS CHINA REOPENS - REUTERS
The premium of high-grade thermal coal over coking coal in Asia is shrinking as China’s re-opening and ending of a ban on imports from Austra ...
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The University of Queensland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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