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Monday, 31 October 22
U.S. COAL-FIRED GENERATION DECLINING AFTER BRIEF RISE LAST YEAR - EIA
.jpg) We expect 6% less U.S. coal-fired generation in 2022 than in 2021, according to our latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Although coal-fired generation declined each year between 2014 and 2020, it rose 16% in 2021 as a result of increased electricity demand and higher natural gas prices following the pandemic. Despite natural gas prices remaining high, coal-fired generation has continued its previous trend of decline this year as a result of constrained coal supply.
Coal and natural gas are two of the most prevalent sources of power generation in the United States. Natural gas-fired power plants that use modern combined-cycle technology can compete effectively with coal-fired generation because they operate with 30% to 35% greater efficiency. This difference affects relative fuel costs between coal and natural gas and the substitution between the two fuels.
Between 2020 and 2021, the delivered cost of natural gas for power generators nearly doubled while the delivered cost of coal grew by only 3%. The increase in natural gas prices caused the share of total natural gas-fired generation to fall to 37% in 2021 from 39% in 2020. In contrast, coal-fired generation increased in 2021 for the first time since 2014 and averaged 23% of U.S. generation, up from 20% in 2020.
The cost of delivering fuel to coal-fired and natural gas-fired generators depends on a wide variety of factors. Wholesale power prices are generally set by the price of natural gas, and natural gas prices have been volatile throughout most of 2022. Compared with coal-fired generators, costs for natural gas-fired generators are more dynamic. Natural gas is bought mostly in the daily, monthly, and seasonal markets to align fuel needs with power sales, which can be highly uncertain. Costs for coal-fired generators are more static because delivered coal prices are mostly based on long-term contracts and remain relatively steady for longer periods. So far this year, as reported to EIA, the delivered price of natural gas has increased more in percentage terms than the delivered price of coal, but natural gas prices for generators may decrease substantially in the fourth quarter.
Despite higher natural gas prices in 2022, we expect natural gas-fired generation will increase slightly this year, and its share of annual U.S. generation will increase from 37% to 38%. The electric power sector is not moving away from natural gas as we expected previously because coal-fired power plants, which have historically acted as a substitute for natural gas generation, have not been receiving enough coal to meet demand. We expect coal production to increase by less than 2% during 2022, and we expect much of that gain to be exported. We expect that the share of generation provided by coal will return to 20% in 2022, down from 23% last year.
Most coal is delivered to power plants by railroads in the United States, which have encountered a number of disruptions this year. Although U.S. coal inventories have been declining in recent years as coal-fired generators have retired, the limitations on coal deliveries have further constrained generators’ ability to replenish stocks and increase generation. During the first seven months of 2022, coal inventories at power plants averaged 23% lower than in 2021.
Source: EIA
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Saturday, 18 March 23
HEDGE TO OFFSET LNG VOLATILITY, TRADERS TOLD - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A shift in imports from Asia to Europe led to significant volatility in liquefied natural gas shipping last year, prompting industry experts to urg ...
Friday, 17 March 23
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE UP AROUND 2.17% IN MARCH 2023
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference up around 2.17% in March 2023.
According to the new HBA regulation No. 41.K/MB.0 ...
Saturday, 11 March 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Uncertainty over the recovery of Chinese demand, demand destruction in Europe, as well as weather conditions will pivot the LNG market this summer. ...
Wednesday, 08 March 23
INDONESIAN COAL REFERENCE PRICE FORMULA HAS OFFICIALLY CHANGED
Indonesian Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources has officially changed the guideline for determining the benchmark price for the sale of coal c ...
Thursday, 02 March 23
INDIA'S SEABORNE CRUDE OIL IMPORTS IN 2022 INCREASED BY 11.5% YOY - BANCHERO COSTA
2022 has turned out to be a very positive year for crude oil trade, despite the surging oil prices and risks of economic recession, Banchero Costa ...
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- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The University of Queensland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
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