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Monday, 31 October 22
U.S. COAL-FIRED GENERATION DECLINING AFTER BRIEF RISE LAST YEAR - EIA
.jpg) We expect 6% less U.S. coal-fired generation in 2022 than in 2021, according to our latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Although coal-fired generation declined each year between 2014 and 2020, it rose 16% in 2021 as a result of increased electricity demand and higher natural gas prices following the pandemic. Despite natural gas prices remaining high, coal-fired generation has continued its previous trend of decline this year as a result of constrained coal supply.
Coal and natural gas are two of the most prevalent sources of power generation in the United States. Natural gas-fired power plants that use modern combined-cycle technology can compete effectively with coal-fired generation because they operate with 30% to 35% greater efficiency. This difference affects relative fuel costs between coal and natural gas and the substitution between the two fuels.
Between 2020 and 2021, the delivered cost of natural gas for power generators nearly doubled while the delivered cost of coal grew by only 3%. The increase in natural gas prices caused the share of total natural gas-fired generation to fall to 37% in 2021 from 39% in 2020. In contrast, coal-fired generation increased in 2021 for the first time since 2014 and averaged 23% of U.S. generation, up from 20% in 2020.
The cost of delivering fuel to coal-fired and natural gas-fired generators depends on a wide variety of factors. Wholesale power prices are generally set by the price of natural gas, and natural gas prices have been volatile throughout most of 2022. Compared with coal-fired generators, costs for natural gas-fired generators are more dynamic. Natural gas is bought mostly in the daily, monthly, and seasonal markets to align fuel needs with power sales, which can be highly uncertain. Costs for coal-fired generators are more static because delivered coal prices are mostly based on long-term contracts and remain relatively steady for longer periods. So far this year, as reported to EIA, the delivered price of natural gas has increased more in percentage terms than the delivered price of coal, but natural gas prices for generators may decrease substantially in the fourth quarter.
Despite higher natural gas prices in 2022, we expect natural gas-fired generation will increase slightly this year, and its share of annual U.S. generation will increase from 37% to 38%. The electric power sector is not moving away from natural gas as we expected previously because coal-fired power plants, which have historically acted as a substitute for natural gas generation, have not been receiving enough coal to meet demand. We expect coal production to increase by less than 2% during 2022, and we expect much of that gain to be exported. We expect that the share of generation provided by coal will return to 20% in 2022, down from 23% last year.
Most coal is delivered to power plants by railroads in the United States, which have encountered a number of disruptions this year. Although U.S. coal inventories have been declining in recent years as coal-fired generators have retired, the limitations on coal deliveries have further constrained generators’ ability to replenish stocks and increase generation. During the first seven months of 2022, coal inventories at power plants averaged 23% lower than in 2021.
Source: EIA
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Saturday, 18 February 23
PAKISTAN PLANS TO QUADRUPLE DOMESTIC COAL-FIRED POWER, MOVE AWAY FROM GAS - REUTERS
Pakistan plans to quadruple its domestic coal-fired capacity to reduce power generation costs and will not build new gas-fired plants in the coming ...
Saturday, 18 February 23
2023 MARINE FUEL MARKET PREDICTIONS - JOHN BERGMAN, AURAMARINE
The drive for decarbonisation we witnessed in 2022 has continued into 2023, demonstrating the shipping’s industry positive strides in the fas ...
Saturday, 28 January 23
COAL GROWTH BLIP NOT TO BE REPEATED - BALTIC EXCHANGE
As 2022 drew to a close, global coal demand looked set to end the year just 1.2% up on the previous year. But that small increase was enough to pus ...
Thursday, 26 January 23
CHINA'S COAL OUTPUT INCREASES IN DECEMBER 2022 - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output posted stable expansion in December 2022, official data showed.
The country produced 400 million tonne ...
Thursday, 26 January 23
COKING COAL NARROWS THE GAP ON THERMAL AS CHINA REOPENS - REUTERS
The premium of high-grade thermal coal over coking coal in Asia is shrinking as China’s re-opening and ending of a ban on imports from Austra ...
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
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