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Monday, 10 October 22
ENERGY TRANSITION BOOSTS GLOBAL LONG-TERM DEMAND FOR METALS - FITCH RATINGS
 The energy transition will significantly increase demand for metals used in manufacturing of electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable power generation facilities, such as copper, nickel, cobalt and lithium, Fitch Ratings says. This will require a vast supply response in the next two decades and investments from miners, although we view the repositioning of their businesses towards a higher share of energy-transition metals in revenue and cash flows as credit positive.
EVs and renewable generation are more metal-intensive than fossil fuel-based alternatives. This will support metals demand as the world transitions towards a carbon-free economy, leading to a six-fold increase in demand for minerals by 2050 compared to current levels, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). Growth rates for each metal will vary and will depend on technologies chosen for batteries and power generation and environmental policies. We anticipate demand for energy-transition metals to peak by the 2040s, when the bulk of low-emission infrastructure will have been built.
However, rapid demand growth may not necessarily be met with an equivalent supply-side response. We estimate the level of available resources to be sufficient, but mineral resources are often geographically concentrated and their extraction may be subject to challenges. Mining projects have long lead times and require large investments. Lead times from resource discovery to production average 17 years, including 12.5 years from discovery to feasibility and 4.5 years for planning and construction, according to the IEA. Copper, cobalt and nickel projects have the longest lead times. By comparison, lithium deposits have shorter lead times, of about seven years.
CRU estimates that most markets for energy-transition metals will remain balanced over the medium term as committed and probable projects come online. Supply gaps might emerge after 2025, as the pipeline of new projects is not yet synchronised with the expected rise in demand created by the energy transition.
The commissioning of new projects will depend, along with the estimates of demand and return on investments, on the availability of funds for large capex projects, either internally generated or borrowed. The financial discipline of most miners has improved over the past decade, providing sufficient financial headroom for future investments. However, a prolonged period of low commodity prices might result in delayed investment decisions.
We view the exposure to energy-transition metals among Fitch-rated miners as credit positive. Several mining companies’ credit profiles, including that of Anglo American, have benefited from a growing share of these metals.
However, market participants now expect miners to deliver increasing volumes of metals required for the energy transition without compromising ESG standards. The key challenge is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions across the metal value chain. Emissions intensity of cobalt, aluminium and nickel mining and processing is high, so skyrocketing demand may result in rising net carbon footprints.
Electricity generation is the largest source of emissions in metals production, and therefore decarbonisation of power sources through shifting from coal to renewables will help reduce emissions. Changes in production technologies and increased metal recycling will cut carbon intensity further.
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Friday, 02 September 22
ABM INVESTAMA BUYS 30% GEMS SHARES FOR US$ 420 MILLION
PT ABM Investama Tbk through its indirect subsidiary, bought a 30% stake in the PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk for US$ 420 million or around Rp 6.2 tri ...
Wednesday, 31 August 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Scorching temperatures and extremely dry conditions during the Northern hemisphere summer have been drying crops. Yield prospects have subsided in ...
Tuesday, 23 August 22
HIGH COAL PRICES COULD BOOST INDONESIA'S ENERGY TRANSITION - IEEFA
Global coal prices have reached an all-time high as countries stop purchasing Russian coal amidst the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Indonesian coal comp ...
Tuesday, 23 August 22
A COMBINED US$6.8-BILLION CASH BALANCE OF INDONESIAN COAL COMPANIES COULD PROVIDE FOR TIMELY INVESTMENTS IN GREEN TRANSITION - IEEFA
A combined US$6.8-billion cash balance of Indonesian coal companies could provide for timely investments in green transition
The opp ...
Tuesday, 23 August 22
SHIPPING INDUSTRY TO REMOVE THE INDIAN OCEAN HIGH RISK AREA - BIMCO
After more than a decade of effective threat-reducing counter-piracy operations the shipping industry has removed the ‘Indian Ocean High Risk ...
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- Economic Council, Georgia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Australian Coal Association
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
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