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Monday, 10 October 22
ENERGY TRANSITION BOOSTS GLOBAL LONG-TERM DEMAND FOR METALS - FITCH RATINGS
 The energy transition will significantly increase demand for metals used in manufacturing of electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable power generation facilities, such as copper, nickel, cobalt and lithium, Fitch Ratings says. This will require a vast supply response in the next two decades and investments from miners, although we view the repositioning of their businesses towards a higher share of energy-transition metals in revenue and cash flows as credit positive.
EVs and renewable generation are more metal-intensive than fossil fuel-based alternatives. This will support metals demand as the world transitions towards a carbon-free economy, leading to a six-fold increase in demand for minerals by 2050 compared to current levels, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). Growth rates for each metal will vary and will depend on technologies chosen for batteries and power generation and environmental policies. We anticipate demand for energy-transition metals to peak by the 2040s, when the bulk of low-emission infrastructure will have been built.
However, rapid demand growth may not necessarily be met with an equivalent supply-side response. We estimate the level of available resources to be sufficient, but mineral resources are often geographically concentrated and their extraction may be subject to challenges. Mining projects have long lead times and require large investments. Lead times from resource discovery to production average 17 years, including 12.5 years from discovery to feasibility and 4.5 years for planning and construction, according to the IEA. Copper, cobalt and nickel projects have the longest lead times. By comparison, lithium deposits have shorter lead times, of about seven years.
CRU estimates that most markets for energy-transition metals will remain balanced over the medium term as committed and probable projects come online. Supply gaps might emerge after 2025, as the pipeline of new projects is not yet synchronised with the expected rise in demand created by the energy transition.
The commissioning of new projects will depend, along with the estimates of demand and return on investments, on the availability of funds for large capex projects, either internally generated or borrowed. The financial discipline of most miners has improved over the past decade, providing sufficient financial headroom for future investments. However, a prolonged period of low commodity prices might result in delayed investment decisions.
We view the exposure to energy-transition metals among Fitch-rated miners as credit positive. Several mining companies’ credit profiles, including that of Anglo American, have benefited from a growing share of these metals.
However, market participants now expect miners to deliver increasing volumes of metals required for the energy transition without compromising ESG standards. The key challenge is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions across the metal value chain. Emissions intensity of cobalt, aluminium and nickel mining and processing is high, so skyrocketing demand may result in rising net carbon footprints.
Electricity generation is the largest source of emissions in metals production, and therefore decarbonisation of power sources through shifting from coal to renewables will help reduce emissions. Changes in production technologies and increased metal recycling will cut carbon intensity further.
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Thursday, 22 December 22
RUSSIAN OIL EXPORTS CRATER BY 54% IN THE FIRST FULL WEEK OF THE EU'S EMBARGO AMID A SHORTAGE OF TANKERS WILLING TO CARRY CARGOES - BUSINESS INSIDER
Since the European Union imposed its seaborne crude sanctions, Russian oil exports have tumbled by more than half, according to data compiled by Bl ...
Thursday, 22 December 22
CHINA TIGHTENS VERIFICATION OF SHIPS’ ENERGY CONSUMPTION DATA - GARD
From 22 December 2022, ships trading to Chinese ports must record their energy consumption data in accordance with the requirements of their Ship E ...
Thursday, 22 December 22
AN OVERVIEW OF THE LNG MARKET - VESSELSVALUE
LNG values have continued to strengthen, spurred by skyrocketing earnings that have surpassed last year’s record breaking peaks. In November, ...
Thursday, 22 December 22
COKING COAL SLUMPS AS TALKS ON AUSTRALIA-CHINA TRADE RIFT LOOM - REUTERS
Chinese coking coal futures dropped more than 3 per cent on Tuesday (Dec 20), extending losses, as supply of the steelmaking input might increase i ...
Thursday, 22 December 22
COAL AND GAS PRICE CAPS MAY COMPOUND POLITICAL RISK FOR AUSTRALIAN CORPORATES - FITCH RATINGS
Australia’s introduction of temporary price caps on domestic sales of gas and coal used for electricity generation will probably have limited ...
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
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