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Friday, 23 September 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
intermodalIn view of the forthcoming winter, Europe is trying to escape from its energy (oil & gas) dependency from Russia to ensure energy abundance even after the banning of Russian oil delivered by sea, Russian refined products will be banned within Q1--2023 and crude oil will be banned in December 2022.
 
Prior further expanding on what is Europe's plan to tackle the energy crisis its important to explain that most of European countries are interconnected on a power grid, which allows energy traders / countries to buy and sell energy on the spot depending on their needs / forecast at that time. Without the Grid infrastructure the energy cost for million households the past year could have been considerably higher than what we've faced.
 
Last week Berlin moved with seizing the local refining unit of Rosneft in Schwedt, meantime their government is also working to nationalize Uniper SE, steps towards a direction to be more dependent and further control the energy production. Up to now we still haven't seen Russia's retaliation on that move.
 
Now European diesel buyers are stepping up, the Russian diesel still trades on a discount, but not at the discount traders were enjoying on May, i.e., $30pmt but anything between $6pmt to $10pmt for NEW and Med respectively. Worth mentioning that due to price backwardation (oil prices expected to be lower than the price if were supposed to be bought today) traders are still avoiding cargo stocking as their not adding any value on their books.
 
Russia to year still supplied 44% of the total diesel supply and Rosneft posted a 13$ rise in midyear profit.
 
The East CPP MR and LR market remains bullish, with MR's leading the race in Feast markets, at present the MR Pacific basket is averaging $67,000 pdpr.  Moving to MEG and WCI market softens slightly but still very healthy rates for MR's and LR1's. 35KT SIKKA/JAPAN stand at $38,000 pdpr and TC5 55KT AG/JAPAN $54.593 PDPR.
 
MR Atlantic basket has significantly improved since early December with TC2 (37KT ARA/USAC OR WAF stands at $30,441 pdpr for USAC discharge and $35,676 pdpr for WAF.   The Backhaul from USG performs poorly if compared to last week $13,598 pdpr and LR1 60KT ARA/WAF $36,000 pdpr.
 
While Europe is still working on keeping us from freezing the upcoming winter, many traders and government officials express their concerns on how we will manage to keep the engine running under these harsh conditions.
By Dimitris Kourtesis
Tanker Broker
 
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations


Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou

Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
 
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