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Thursday, 15 September 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 While the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies agreed on a 100,000 b/d output cut last week, oil flows are in the spotlight amid concerns about declining oil prices, the recovery of China’s demand, and a possible deal with Iran.
US crude exports from USG surged 13.5% m-o-m at 3.626m b/d in August, marking a record year to date. The main importer of US crude oil was Europe with an increase in imports of 17% m-o-m at 49m barrels. Asia’s imports surged 27% m-o-m at 47m barrels, with Asia using 70% of the total 33 supertankers used to export US crude.
Brazilian crude exports surged at 1,202m b/d, hitting a 3-month high, on the back of demand recovery from Europe and China. Exports to China increased 10% m-o-m, while exports to Europe surged by 32% m-o-m. However, exports to the US fell by 67%.
Flows from the North Sea to Europe remained elevated, with a total of 98% of cargoes received by EU countries. North Sea total output for the month of August reached 1.86m b/d, flat m-o-m.
Kuwait crude exports marked a 5-month high in August, increasing 3% m-o-m at 2.811m b/d, while planning to further increase its output in September at 2.818m b/d. Exports to India fell to their lowest since June 2020 in August. Deliveries to China fell to the lowest year to date at 468k b/d, but adding shipments to China via Myanmar, they increased by 6.4% at 532k b/d. Flows to Egypt marked a 9-month high, while flows to the US also increased. Meanwhile, exports to Vietnam remained stable and exports to Japan decreased marginally. Saudi crude exports surged 10.8% m-o-m at 7.6m b/d on the back of increased flows to China and Egypt. Qatar’s August oil exports edged marginally higher at 896k b/d in August from 892k b/d in July, underpinned by higher flows to Japan which jumped to the highest since February. Flows to Singapore and UAE also increased, while exports to China fell to the lowest since November 2020, and exports to India decreased m-o-m. Crude and condensate exports from UAE slipped by 2% from a 5-year high in July to 3.645m b/d, due to a short-time halt in Fujairah exports following heavy rainfalls and floodings paired with a decline in China-bound flows. While exports to China, South Korea, and Taiwan fell during August, exports to Japan marked a record high, and exports to India also increased.
Venezuelan exports slumped in August mainly due to Chinese refinery cuts during the same month. Total exports reached 375k b/d, down 26% m-o-m. Flows to China decreased 19% m-o-m ahead of simultaneous maintenance in many teapot refineries, while export to Cuba slumped 49% m-o-m due to a fire at a fuel depot which disrupted flows.
Iraq’s crude exports plunged to a 4-year low at 3.62m b/d in August from 3.70m b/d in July. Exports to Europe fell almost 50% m-o-m, albeit higher than the 3-month average before Russia’s invasion. Shipments to China surged 27.8% m-o-m, while shipments to India edged 8.9% higher m-o-m. Iraq has been competing with discounted Russian barrels and while China and India have been snapping Russian cargoes, European buyers are shunning barrels from Iraq.
Libyan exports jumped to a 5-month high at 931k b/d in August, +58% m-o-m. Exports were buoyed by the assignment of a new chairman at the NOC, however, clashes in Tripoli in late August raise doubts about the country’s oil exports recovery.
West Africa’s August exports fell by 1.7% m-o-m to 3.15m b/d, due to ongoing thefts in Nigeria. Nigerian exports fell below Angolan for a second time during the last 3 months. Angolan exports were marginally higher m-o-m. While exports to China and Europe increased by 43% m-o-m and 1.08% m-o-m respectively, exports to the US edged marginally lower for the same period.
By Chara Georgousi,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 02 March 23
DRY BULK MARKET: THE WAY CHINA GOES, SO GOES THE MARKET - BIMCO
We expect demand growth within the 1.5-2.5% range in 2023, driven by China’s economic recovery. Improvements in consumer sentiment should hel ...
Thursday, 02 March 23
INDIA, CHINA DEMAND BOOST LOW-RANK THERMAL COAL PRICES IN ASIA - RUSSELL, REUTERS
Signs of stronger import demand from India have arrested the decline in price of the thermal coal grades most commonly sought by the world’s ...
Thursday, 02 March 23
INDIA CHEERS THE RETURN OF ‘KING COAL’ AS INDUSTRY SEES BUOYANT FUTURE - REUTERS
India’s coal industry celebrated the return of its major conference after a three-year pandemic hiatus by presenting a bullish view of demand ...
Wednesday, 01 March 23
GEO CONNECT ASIA RETURNS IN MARCH TO ACCELERATE THE REGION’S GEOSPATIAL AND LOCATION INTELLIGENCE CAPABILITIES
Press Release: The third edition of GCA will be held in conjunction with Digital Construction Asia and the inaugural Drones Asia – an event d ...
Wednesday, 01 March 23
THE DECLINE IN THE COAL PRICE SINCE THE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANT - INTERMODAL
Last week, the front-month API2 future rose by 3.5%, but since the beginning of the year the future has fallen by 39% to $136.65/t, while the Newca ...
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
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