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Friday, 22 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Faced with uncertainty regarding the most cost-efficient alternative fuels and the future dominant method to reduce their greenhouse emissions, many owners abstain from the newbuilding realm, especially in the wet and dry sector, while sticking to ageing fleets. During 1H22, fleet grew by 1.4% (est. 2.8% in 2022), which is way below the 10-year average growth of 3.6%. While new orders are not coming in fast enough to halt the trend of an ageing fleet, the introduction of EEXI, CII and EU ETS at the beginning of 2023, has resulted in a record of 61% of newbuild orders being alternative fuelled.
According to our data, tanker fleet renewal remains muted across 1H22. Overall, 31 vessels have been ordered within 2022 in the wet sector (with the orderbook standing at 5% of fleet capacity), of which 1 is methanol & ammonia ready, 1 is methanol fuelled, 2 are battery powered and 2 are LNG fuelled. With risks to the tanker demand still prevailing on the back of macroeconomic factors and high oil prices, the tanker market has witnessed significantly improved conditions in recent months, underpinned by shifts in trade patterns resulting in tonne-mile increase. Low stocks, paired with high refinery margins are expected to further boost trade growth in seaborne volumes and tonne-miles and contribute to the revival of an ageing fleet.
On the dry front, contracting activity hit low levels, partly on the back of uncertainty over decarbonization trends. Current orderbook stands at 7% of the fleet capacity, marking a 30-year low, which suggests a very limited growth capacity. According to our records, 85 bulkers have been ordered during 1H22, of which 5 are LNG fuelled or dual-fuelled, 3 being ammonia-ready/fuelled and 25 meeting EEDI phase 3 standards. Overall, 14 % of the total orderbook are alternative fuel capable, with Capesize segment leading the decarbonization pathway.
On the container front, however, the market sentiment is bullish with an orderbook at 28% of the fleet capacity. Amid disruptions to the world trade caused by the pandemic and a shortage of new vessels, freights have been rallying and therefore, fuelling owners’ appetite for boxhsips, which has prevailed during 1H22. More specifically, out of the total of 295 vessels ordered, 57 are dual-fuelled and LNG fuelled, 32 are methanol and ammonia-ready, while 31 meet EEDI phase 3 standards.
Newbuilding ordering activity has further been supported by the recent spree in LNG contracts. According to our data, contracting activity in the sector hit record highs with a total of 112 new vessels ordered within 2022, boosting the orderbook to 37% of the fleet capacity. Berths for the Qatar LNG project are monopolizing the owners’ interest, providing further support to the market. Out of the total of 112 vessels, 32 are booked for the Qatari project and 6 of them are dual or LNG-fuelled. Further supported by growth in LNG tonne-mile trade on the back of the sanctions on Russian gas from EU/US, and the recently announced plan for expansion of Qatar’s mega-plant and Cheniere’s Corpus Chritsti plant, market sentiment for LNG contracting activity remains firm.
By Chara Georgousi
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 23 December 21
INDONESIA’S 2022 COAL OUTPUT SEEN BETWEEN 637 MLN-664 MLN T- OFFICIAL - REUTERS
Indonesia’s 2022 coal output is estimated at between 637 million to 664 million tonnes based on production plans currently being finalised, s ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
VALE ANNOUNCES THE SALE OF ITS COAL ASSETS
Vale informs that, on this date, it has entered into a binding agreement with Vulcan to sell the Moatize coal mine and the Nacala Logistics Corrido ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
INDIA: CAPTIVE POWER PRODUCERS URGE GOVT TO ENSURE NORMAL COAL SUPPLIES - PTI
A captive power producers’ association has urged the government for 100 per cent normalisation of coal supply to captive power producers whil ...
Thursday, 23 December 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As an outstanding year for the dry bulk freight market comes to a close, so does a thriving year for the SnP market which can only be compared to 2 ...
Tuesday, 14 December 21
COAL LOCK-IN IN SOUTHEAST ASIA PRESENTS A CHALLENGE FOR THE ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK'S COAL RETIREMENT PLAN - IEEFA
In August, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) announced an ambitious plan to buy high emissions coal-fired power plants in Southeast Asia and retire ...
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PTC India Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
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