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Friday, 22 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Faced with uncertainty regarding the most cost-efficient alternative fuels and the future dominant method to reduce their greenhouse emissions, many owners abstain from the newbuilding realm, especially in the wet and dry sector, while sticking to ageing fleets. During 1H22, fleet grew by 1.4% (est. 2.8% in 2022), which is way below the 10-year average growth of 3.6%. While new orders are not coming in fast enough to halt the trend of an ageing fleet, the introduction of EEXI, CII and EU ETS at the beginning of 2023, has resulted in a record of 61% of newbuild orders being alternative fuelled.
According to our data, tanker fleet renewal remains muted across 1H22. Overall, 31 vessels have been ordered within 2022 in the wet sector (with the orderbook standing at 5% of fleet capacity), of which 1 is methanol & ammonia ready, 1 is methanol fuelled, 2 are battery powered and 2 are LNG fuelled. With risks to the tanker demand still prevailing on the back of macroeconomic factors and high oil prices, the tanker market has witnessed significantly improved conditions in recent months, underpinned by shifts in trade patterns resulting in tonne-mile increase. Low stocks, paired with high refinery margins are expected to further boost trade growth in seaborne volumes and tonne-miles and contribute to the revival of an ageing fleet.
On the dry front, contracting activity hit low levels, partly on the back of uncertainty over decarbonization trends. Current orderbook stands at 7% of the fleet capacity, marking a 30-year low, which suggests a very limited growth capacity. According to our records, 85 bulkers have been ordered during 1H22, of which 5 are LNG fuelled or dual-fuelled, 3 being ammonia-ready/fuelled and 25 meeting EEDI phase 3 standards. Overall, 14 % of the total orderbook are alternative fuel capable, with Capesize segment leading the decarbonization pathway.
On the container front, however, the market sentiment is bullish with an orderbook at 28% of the fleet capacity. Amid disruptions to the world trade caused by the pandemic and a shortage of new vessels, freights have been rallying and therefore, fuelling owners’ appetite for boxhsips, which has prevailed during 1H22. More specifically, out of the total of 295 vessels ordered, 57 are dual-fuelled and LNG fuelled, 32 are methanol and ammonia-ready, while 31 meet EEDI phase 3 standards.
Newbuilding ordering activity has further been supported by the recent spree in LNG contracts. According to our data, contracting activity in the sector hit record highs with a total of 112 new vessels ordered within 2022, boosting the orderbook to 37% of the fleet capacity. Berths for the Qatar LNG project are monopolizing the owners’ interest, providing further support to the market. Out of the total of 112 vessels, 32 are booked for the Qatari project and 6 of them are dual or LNG-fuelled. Further supported by growth in LNG tonne-mile trade on the back of the sanctions on Russian gas from EU/US, and the recently announced plan for expansion of Qatar’s mega-plant and Cheniere’s Corpus Chritsti plant, market sentiment for LNG contracting activity remains firm.
By Chara Georgousi
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 08 January 23
ELEVATED COAL PRICE A DRAG ON MARGINS OF DOMESTIC BASE METAL PLAYERS: ICRA
The increased price of coal continue to be a drag on the margin of domestic base metal players with no immediate relief in sight, rating agency ICR ...
Monday, 02 January 23
CHINA’S COAL CONSUMPTION TO PEAK BY 2035: REPORT - REUTERS
China’s primary energy consumption is likely to peak at nearly 6.03 billion tonnes of standard coal between 2030 and 2035, refining giant Chi ...
Thursday, 29 December 22
INDIA'S COAL DEMAND LIKELY TO PEAK BETWEEN 2030-2035: MINISTER - ANI
The demand for coal in India will continue and is likely to peak between 2030-2035, Union Minister of Coal, Mines, and Parliamentary Affairs Pralha ...
Thursday, 29 December 22
RIO TINTO AND PARTNERS COULD RECEIVE AS MUCH AS $450M IN GOVERNMENT COMPENSATION FOR COAL PRICE CAP - THE GUARDIAN
Compensation payments for the Gladstone power plant remain the sticking point in the federal government’s coal price cap compensation negotia ...
Wednesday, 28 December 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) published a Global Trade Update on December 13th highlighting that global trade wou ...
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
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