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Wednesday, 06 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Following the 3rd Decarbonizing Shipping Forum, held in Hamburg on June 2022, there has been a meaningful resurgence of discussions within the shipping industry around the topic. In order to meet internationally agreed levels of mitigation, shipping industry must undertake fundamental changes in its emissions pathway, while stakeholders need to implement effective solutions to reduce their emissions in a cost-effective and feasible way. Cost considerations, which typically represent the main part of the decision process, operational and market factors need to be addressed.
Adopting an economic and sustainable fuel solution to substitute fossil fuels is a complex process, facing headwinds from a current absence of targeted policies, such as renewable fuel mandate and carbon taxation. Fuel price is a shaping factor for change in the industry as bunkers, which represent approx. 47% of a vessel’s operating cost, will significantly increase under IMO’s regulations. Therefore, to continue running on cheaper fossil fuels, many vessels are being built or fitted with scrubbers, which equal 4.26% of the world fleet in 2022, according to our data.
This figure equals to 4,845 vessels, according to DNV, with most of them carrying open type scrubbers and 3,296 of them being retrofitted, while only 1,549 of them fitted at newbuilding stage. In terms of ship type most of them are bulkers (1,659), followed by containers (1,121) and chemical/oil tankers (573). In terms of alternative fuels, LNG currently seems the only green fuel that is viable commercially for the deep-sea segment in the short term, with a 0.74% total LNG capable fleet in 2022. In total, there are 817 LNG capable ships in operation, while 743 are currently on order, according to our data. Most of them are oil tankers (39 in operation and 35 on order), containerships (36 in operation and a massive number of 169 on order) and bulkers (13 in operation and 49 on order). However, despite low emissions, it will not be able to meet IMO’s regulations in the long term and will only represent a transitory fuel.
Regarding methanol and ammonia, these are scarcely in use, with only 56 methanol fueled vessels and very few ammonia fueled vessels in operation, of which 6 are tankers. Port infrastructure is currently under development with dominant initiatives from Vopak Terminal in Rotterdam for methanol and port of Gothenburg in Sweden which is establishing a value chain aiming at becoming the primary methanol bunkering hub in Northern Europe and the most recent development of Yara terminal in Oslo, the world’s first ammonia fuel bunker network in Scandinavia.
On the other hand, the use of biofuels still accounts for a small percentage of the world fleet. Owners are still skeptical towards the use of biofuels in the short term, as the additional cost for the fuel transition paired with a 10% premium on bunker cost, amidst a lack of well-established supply chain and infrastructures, will result in higher freights under an unclear framework on how this extra cost will be divided between involved maritime stakeholders. According to our data, there are currently 8 tankers, 9 bulkers and 10 containers in operation using biofuels.
From a technological point of view, fitting vessels with scrubbers or converting engines to run on alternative or biofuels is a costly and time-consuming process. For instance, to run on LNG, vessels require two to three times the volume of fuel oil tanks. Engines burning ammonia or hydrogen are still under testing & development phase and builders will need more time on top of the various safety concerns associated with the use of these fuels.
Regarding the electrification of vessels, batteries are not yet adequately developed and will need to become less heavy and space-consuming, as well as more efficient to support optimal ship operation. In the meantime, there are only 118 cold ironing facilities in operation and 47 more being decided for future operation globally (according to DNV), with most of them in Northern Europe and very few of them in USA/Canada and China for a total number of 466 battery-powered vessels in operation, 50% of them are hybrid type and only 23% of them pure electric, and 188 vessels on order at the moment.
By Chara Georgousi,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 30 June 22
WHY ARE LNG SHIPPING STOCKS RESILIENT? - DREWRY
LNG shipping stocks are proving resilient despite uncertainties about growth in global GDP, high inflation and the ongoing geopolitical crisis caus ...
Thursday, 30 June 22
SPOT AUSTRALIAN THERMAL COAL HAS SURGED, BUT CONTRACT PRICE IS KEY - REUTERS
The spot price of Australian thermal coal is higher than that of coking coal, an unprecedented situation that highlights just how the global market ...
Thursday, 30 June 22
SHANXI PROVINCE RAISES ANNUAL COAL OUTPUT TO 1.3 BILLION TONS TO ENSURE CHINA’S ENERGY SUPPLY - GLOBAL TIMES
North China’s Shanxi Province, a major coal-producing region, recently announced a move to increase its annual coal production output by 107 ...
Thursday, 30 June 22
DIVERGENCE BETWEEN HIGH- AND LOW-GRADE THERMAL COAL PRICES IN APAC TO NARROW - FITCH RATINGS
Prices between high- and low-grade thermal coal in Asia-Pacific (APAC) have diverged since late March 2022, but Fitch Ratings expects the gap to na ...
Thursday, 30 June 22
INVESTMENT IN GLOBAL COAL SUPPLY CHAIN TO HIT $115 BN IN 2022, LED BY CHINA AND INDIA - BUSINESS LINE
At over $80 billion, China and India are anticipated to make up the bulk of global coal investment in 2022, says IEA.
The investment ...
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- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Australian Coal Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
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