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Wednesday, 06 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Following the 3rd Decarbonizing Shipping Forum, held in Hamburg on June 2022, there has been a meaningful resurgence of discussions within the shipping industry around the topic. In order to meet internationally agreed levels of mitigation, shipping industry must undertake fundamental changes in its emissions pathway, while stakeholders need to implement effective solutions to reduce their emissions in a cost-effective and feasible way. Cost considerations, which typically represent the main part of the decision process, operational and market factors need to be addressed.
Adopting an economic and sustainable fuel solution to substitute fossil fuels is a complex process, facing headwinds from a current absence of targeted policies, such as renewable fuel mandate and carbon taxation. Fuel price is a shaping factor for change in the industry as bunkers, which represent approx. 47% of a vessel’s operating cost, will significantly increase under IMO’s regulations. Therefore, to continue running on cheaper fossil fuels, many vessels are being built or fitted with scrubbers, which equal 4.26% of the world fleet in 2022, according to our data.
This figure equals to 4,845 vessels, according to DNV, with most of them carrying open type scrubbers and 3,296 of them being retrofitted, while only 1,549 of them fitted at newbuilding stage. In terms of ship type most of them are bulkers (1,659), followed by containers (1,121) and chemical/oil tankers (573). In terms of alternative fuels, LNG currently seems the only green fuel that is viable commercially for the deep-sea segment in the short term, with a 0.74% total LNG capable fleet in 2022. In total, there are 817 LNG capable ships in operation, while 743 are currently on order, according to our data. Most of them are oil tankers (39 in operation and 35 on order), containerships (36 in operation and a massive number of 169 on order) and bulkers (13 in operation and 49 on order). However, despite low emissions, it will not be able to meet IMO’s regulations in the long term and will only represent a transitory fuel.
Regarding methanol and ammonia, these are scarcely in use, with only 56 methanol fueled vessels and very few ammonia fueled vessels in operation, of which 6 are tankers. Port infrastructure is currently under development with dominant initiatives from Vopak Terminal in Rotterdam for methanol and port of Gothenburg in Sweden which is establishing a value chain aiming at becoming the primary methanol bunkering hub in Northern Europe and the most recent development of Yara terminal in Oslo, the world’s first ammonia fuel bunker network in Scandinavia.
On the other hand, the use of biofuels still accounts for a small percentage of the world fleet. Owners are still skeptical towards the use of biofuels in the short term, as the additional cost for the fuel transition paired with a 10% premium on bunker cost, amidst a lack of well-established supply chain and infrastructures, will result in higher freights under an unclear framework on how this extra cost will be divided between involved maritime stakeholders. According to our data, there are currently 8 tankers, 9 bulkers and 10 containers in operation using biofuels.
From a technological point of view, fitting vessels with scrubbers or converting engines to run on alternative or biofuels is a costly and time-consuming process. For instance, to run on LNG, vessels require two to three times the volume of fuel oil tanks. Engines burning ammonia or hydrogen are still under testing & development phase and builders will need more time on top of the various safety concerns associated with the use of these fuels.
Regarding the electrification of vessels, batteries are not yet adequately developed and will need to become less heavy and space-consuming, as well as more efficient to support optimal ship operation. In the meantime, there are only 118 cold ironing facilities in operation and 47 more being decided for future operation globally (according to DNV), with most of them in Northern Europe and very few of them in USA/Canada and China for a total number of 466 battery-powered vessels in operation, 50% of them are hybrid type and only 23% of them pure electric, and 188 vessels on order at the moment.
By Chara Georgousi,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 30 June 22
WHY ARE LNG SHIPPING STOCKS RESILIENT? - DREWRY
LNG shipping stocks are proving resilient despite uncertainties about growth in global GDP, high inflation and the ongoing geopolitical crisis caus ...
Thursday, 30 June 22
SPOT AUSTRALIAN THERMAL COAL HAS SURGED, BUT CONTRACT PRICE IS KEY - REUTERS
The spot price of Australian thermal coal is higher than that of coking coal, an unprecedented situation that highlights just how the global market ...
Thursday, 30 June 22
SHANXI PROVINCE RAISES ANNUAL COAL OUTPUT TO 1.3 BILLION TONS TO ENSURE CHINA’S ENERGY SUPPLY - GLOBAL TIMES
North China’s Shanxi Province, a major coal-producing region, recently announced a move to increase its annual coal production output by 107 ...
Thursday, 30 June 22
DIVERGENCE BETWEEN HIGH- AND LOW-GRADE THERMAL COAL PRICES IN APAC TO NARROW - FITCH RATINGS
Prices between high- and low-grade thermal coal in Asia-Pacific (APAC) have diverged since late March 2022, but Fitch Ratings expects the gap to na ...
Thursday, 30 June 22
INVESTMENT IN GLOBAL COAL SUPPLY CHAIN TO HIT $115 BN IN 2022, LED BY CHINA AND INDIA - BUSINESS LINE
At over $80 billion, China and India are anticipated to make up the bulk of global coal investment in 2022, says IEA.
The investment ...
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PTC India Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
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