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Friday, 13 November 09
API4 IGNORES LOW COAL TRADES - SWISS SINGAPORE


* Jan, Feb S.Africa coal prices hit 12-month highs
* Indian trader says deals done dollars below index

Reuters reported that, the physical coal price benchmark for South African cargoes FOB Richards Bay has been unjustifiably high, leading to big price exposure for Indian traders buying against the index, K.K. Gupta, vice president of traders Swiss Singapore said on Thursday.

On Wednesday, a January and a February loading South African cargo traded at 12-month highs on globalCOAL, at $69.00 and $70.35 a tonne FOB Richards Bay respectively.

But trades at around those levels, reported by brokers and on trading platform globalCOAL, do not reflect the majority of business, Gupta said.

"There have been many trades done at $61-$63 a tonne FOB Richards Bay recently which have not been considered. Index prices of $66.00 cannot be justified," Gupta told Reuters.

Swiss Singapore from its Dubai office is one of the most active traders supplying South African and Indonesian coal to the Indian market, handling several million tonnes a year.

India has been the largest single buyer of South African coal this year, taking 30-35 percent of monthly exports out of a total of 60 million tonnes annually.

Indian trading companies have during the past year switched much of their South African coal buying to contracts linked to the API4 physical index from fixed-price deals but the volatility in API4 prices has squeezed their margins.

Many Indian traders have contracts with end-users at fixed CIF or CFR prices and are supplying coal bought at floating prices, leaving them exposed to huge price risk and losses if they have not hedged - and few have hedged coal or freight.

DISPUTE

In April Bhatia Coal India terminated a coal supply contract with traders Vitol and instigated arbitration in order to avoid loading South African cargoes at locked-in prices of $120 a tonne after the market fell by 50 percent

Vitol and Bhatia are still in dispute over $50 million as a result.

Vitol coal risk portfolio manager Peter Aitken said in October that 2008 saw a number of buyer defaults in coal, centred in the physical markets.

Price risk mitigation must be tackled urgently to avoid catastrophic situations, Aitken said

"The Indian subcontinent is lifting a good amount of quantity from South Africa and lately many traders have started dealing on an index basis," he said.

Richards Bay prices fell last August from a historic high of $150 a tonne to around $60 in January. From January-September prices remained in a range of about $58.00-63.00 but during the past month prices have risen close to $70.00.

"We would like to register our resistance regarding the API4 price published in the recent publications. In our opinion the price is quite high and it is absolutely not in line with the recent trades which have taken place for RB1 coal on FOB RBCT basis," Gupta said.

"The detail of the last four weeks publications are as under - First week of November $66.64, 5th week of October $65.61, 4th week of October $66.06, 3rd week of October $64.05, 2nd week of October $63.75," he said.

Swiss Singapore's own deals during the past 15 days have all been in the range $61.00-$63.00, he said.

The deals are as follows:

* First half November loading South African cargo bought at $61.50 a tonne FOB Richards Bay.
* Second half November loading cargo bought at $62.25 a tonne FOB.
* Prompt 75,000 tonne cargo sold at $62.80 a tonne FOB.
* Prompt cargo sold at $63.30 a tonne FOB.

"There are a number of transactions which have taken place in India and the Chinese markets for South African coal and the above reflects the true value of the cargoes," he said.
Source: Reuters



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