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Tuesday, 22 February 22
THE DRY BULK MARKET HAS MOVED ON A POSITIVE TRACK - ALLIED
The dry bulk market has moved on a positive track as of the past couple of weeks or so. Following the typical softening in freight conditions during the early part of the year, many would argue that this recovery of late has to some degree been anticipated, said Thomas Chasapis, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping in his latest weekly report.
According to Thomas Chasapis , this, though, simultaneously raises the question as to whether we should remain bullish or not in the near term. To answer such a question, we must take a more comprehensive look. One of the tricky aspects of the current market’s momentum for example, is the level of disconnection exhibited by the Capesize market against those of the other size segments. This persistent “failing” of the bigger size segment to shape the overall signal the dry bulk sector within the current market regime is one of the most interesting angles to start with, given that it shows a shift within the traditional dry portfolio dynamics in terms of performance and risk metrics.
The Allied’s weekly report further noted that, returning to the original argument, do we now have a better view of what we can expect in the sort-run? The below graph gives some interesting ideas in respect to this. Having used the benchmark BDI and its derived Bollinger Band trendlines (using the typical 20-period SMA & +/- 2 standard deviation methodology), we notice that we currently stand at levels close to the upper band levels (for many, this would be considered as an overbought condition). At the same time, starting from the onset of the previous year, we also see that the index followed in most cases the “typical” shifts in trend when it reached either bullish or bearish crossover levels. However, there were many cases that the index touched the upper band, highlighting the strong uptrend that was noted throughout the previous year. Now, we are in a bullish crossover, that may me prove strong enough to push things even further, while being at the same time, attuned to the (periodical) mean-reverting idea of a market converging to its short-term balance levels. However, how probable is this scenario, given the current dissonant trajectory of the Capesize market?
Finally, Thomas Chasapis says, I would place the focus also on the global macro trends and the prolonged discussions regarding interest rates and inflation targets. Shipping markets are not immune to these changes, that fundamentally can alter dynamics in investment strategies, risk appetite and asset price levels.
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Tuesday, 08 March 22
RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT ADDS IMPETUS TO ASIA'S ENERGY TRANSITION - IEEFA
Clean energy alternatives are a crucial hedge against future disruptions in global commodity markets
Russia’s invasion of Ukra ...
Tuesday, 08 March 22
THE HIGH COST OF INDONESIA’S DOWNSTREAM COAL PROJECTS IS UNDERESTIMATED - IEEFA
Three Indonesian ministries have come up with a DME purchase price of US$378/tonne fixed for 20 years compared to IEEFA’s US$601/tonne estima ...
Wednesday, 02 March 22
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The escalating confrontation between Russia and Ukraine has the potential to disrupt global order and set the world back a few decades. While count ...
Tuesday, 22 February 22
CHINA'S DAILY OUTPUT OF COAL REBOUNDS TO OVER 12 MLN TONNES - REUTERS
China’s coal output returned to more than 12 million tonnes per day as of Feb. 20, the country’s state planner said on Monday, a level ...
Thursday, 17 February 22
MAJOR INSTITUTIONS PROVIDED OVER $1.5 TRLN TO COAL SECTOR IN 2019-2021, SAYS NGO GROUP - REUTERS
Financial institutions channelled more than $1.5 trillion into the coal industry in loans and underwriting from January 2019 to November 2021, even ...
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- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
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- Planning Commission, India
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- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
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- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
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- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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- White Energy Company Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
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- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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- Australian Coal Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
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- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
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