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Wednesday, 09 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Iron ore prices have jumped significantly in the week prior to the Chinese New Year with traders and producers stocking up on raw materials. China’s stronger-than-expected steel production, combined with an aggressive restocking of inventory levels and the country’s ports had driven iron ore prices well above expectations.
Iron ore stocks have also spiked as analysts upgrade their price forecasts for the commodity on the back of another unexpected recovery. The record prices of last May tumbled unexpectedly fast to under $US100 a tonne, and currently iron ore is taking the pundits again by surprise with a new run that now has it back near $US150/t. The sentiment is apparently still driven by signals about increased infrastructure spending in China and upgraded price forecasts. Nevertheless, and apart from the price of the commodity itself, it is very important that we still see the good fundamentals and dynamics there, which in any case support our overall optimism and hopes that better and more stable freight rates for Capes must be around the corner.
Looking at Australian iron ore exports to China, it is positive to see they remained robust last month despite the backdrop of rising market prices due to multiple factors including weather disruption and labor “shortage” concerns. Industry analysts said the proportion of Australian iron ore in China’s total iron ore imports may be reduced to below 60 percent in 2022 for the first time since 2015, especially as China is still diversifying its sources of supplies and deepening industry upgrading while pursuing low-carbon targets at the same time.
The price of iron ore was also reflected in the rising imports in China in recent weeks, and perhaps it is more important to keep an eye on inventory levels as well. According to data from industry sources, the total inventory of iron ore imported by steel mills across China reached about 117.57 million tons this week, an increase of 470,200 tons from the previous month. Of course it is always possible that the price increase could simply and perhaps only be related to seasonal speculation itself.
Overall since 2015, China’s iron ore imports from Australia and Brazil have accounted for nearly 80 percent of all imports, of which imports from Australia have exceeded 60 percent. Bilateral relations have soured again recently due to Australia’s attitude toward China, which has caused disruption for trade activities. Iron ore exports are still among the few remaining products that are still in high demand in China, partly due to the needs of the domestic construction sector. However, the expectation is that import proportion from Australia in 2022 is likely to drop below 60 percent, having been 61.6 percent in 2021 and 62.5 percent in 2020. We also hear a lot about the change in policy and the potential domestic supply of iron ore in China, not sure however if all this is something that will really re-shape the market dynamics in the future.
By Christopher Whitty,
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 17 August 22
CHINA'S COAL-RICH SHANXI MAKES STRIDES IN HIGH-QUALITY DEVELOPMENT - XINHUA
Shanxi, a major coal-producing province in north China, has made continuous advances in high-quality development over the past decade, according to ...
Wednesday, 17 August 22
PAXOCEAN, HONG LAM MARINE AND BUREAU VERITAS SIGN MOU TO DEVELOP AMMONIA BUNKER VESSEL DESIGN - BUREAU VERITAS
PaxOcean Engineering Pte. Ltd. has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with Singapore-based bunker vessel operator Hong Lam Marine and class ...
Wednesday, 17 August 22
GOODFUELSS ASIA-PACIFIC BRANCH KICKSTARTS SUSTAINABLE BIOFUEL DELIVERIES WITH NYK AS FIRST CLIENT - GOOD FUELS
GoodFuels, the leading biofuels pioneer for the global transport industry, has today announced that it has successfully supplied sustainable marine ...
Tuesday, 16 August 22
EU BAN ON RUSSIAN COAL IMPORTS COMES INTO FORCE - DEUTSCHE WELLE
The European Union banned Russian coal imports in response to the invasion of Ukraine as part of sanctions in April. Since then, it’s been sc ...
Thursday, 11 August 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
On July 22nd, Ukraine signed a deal with Russia to release 22mn tons of grain from Ukraine’s 3 major ports (Yuzhny, Chornomorsk, Odesa). Such ...
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- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The University of Queensland
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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