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Wednesday, 09 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Iron ore prices have jumped significantly in the week prior to the Chinese New Year with traders and producers stocking up on raw materials. China’s stronger-than-expected steel production, combined with an aggressive restocking of inventory levels and the country’s ports had driven iron ore prices well above expectations.
Iron ore stocks have also spiked as analysts upgrade their price forecasts for the commodity on the back of another unexpected recovery. The record prices of last May tumbled unexpectedly fast to under $US100 a tonne, and currently iron ore is taking the pundits again by surprise with a new run that now has it back near $US150/t. The sentiment is apparently still driven by signals about increased infrastructure spending in China and upgraded price forecasts. Nevertheless, and apart from the price of the commodity itself, it is very important that we still see the good fundamentals and dynamics there, which in any case support our overall optimism and hopes that better and more stable freight rates for Capes must be around the corner.
Looking at Australian iron ore exports to China, it is positive to see they remained robust last month despite the backdrop of rising market prices due to multiple factors including weather disruption and labor “shortage” concerns. Industry analysts said the proportion of Australian iron ore in China’s total iron ore imports may be reduced to below 60 percent in 2022 for the first time since 2015, especially as China is still diversifying its sources of supplies and deepening industry upgrading while pursuing low-carbon targets at the same time.
The price of iron ore was also reflected in the rising imports in China in recent weeks, and perhaps it is more important to keep an eye on inventory levels as well. According to data from industry sources, the total inventory of iron ore imported by steel mills across China reached about 117.57 million tons this week, an increase of 470,200 tons from the previous month. Of course it is always possible that the price increase could simply and perhaps only be related to seasonal speculation itself.
Overall since 2015, China’s iron ore imports from Australia and Brazil have accounted for nearly 80 percent of all imports, of which imports from Australia have exceeded 60 percent. Bilateral relations have soured again recently due to Australia’s attitude toward China, which has caused disruption for trade activities. Iron ore exports are still among the few remaining products that are still in high demand in China, partly due to the needs of the domestic construction sector. However, the expectation is that import proportion from Australia in 2022 is likely to drop below 60 percent, having been 61.6 percent in 2021 and 62.5 percent in 2020. We also hear a lot about the change in policy and the potential domestic supply of iron ore in China, not sure however if all this is something that will really re-shape the market dynamics in the future.
By Christopher Whitty,
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 25 May 21
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER INVITED BIDS FOR 870,000 MT OF MIN 5300 NCV COAL FOR 2021 TO 2023.
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO) has issued an International tender for total 870,000 MT of Min 5,300 kcal/kg NCV coal for Augu ...
Tuesday, 25 May 21
CHINA’S COAL OUTPUT RISES IN FIRST FOUR MONTHS - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output rose 11.1 percent year on year to 1.29 billion tonnes in the first four months of 2021, official data showed.
&nb ...
Tuesday, 25 May 21
MARINE SHIPPERS BULK UP: ANOTHER GAME OF CHICKEN IN THE WORKS? - THE KOREA TIMES
Global shipping companies have been placing orders for large ships, with many anticipating further increased competition within the next three year ...
Friday, 21 May 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The dry bulk market’s counter seasonal surge so far into the first half of the year -in a sort of 2010 manner - and Capesize’s recent r ...
Wednesday, 12 May 21
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TO INCREASE BY 43 MMST IN 2021 TOTAL 582 MILLION SHORT TONS - EIA
U.S. energy Information Administration expects U.S. coal production to total 582 million short tons (MMst) in 2021, 43 MMst (8%) more than in 2020. ...
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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