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Wednesday, 09 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Iron ore prices have jumped significantly in the week prior to the Chinese New Year with traders and producers stocking up on raw materials. China’s stronger-than-expected steel production, combined with an aggressive restocking of inventory levels and the country’s ports had driven iron ore prices well above expectations.
Iron ore stocks have also spiked as analysts upgrade their price forecasts for the commodity on the back of another unexpected recovery. The record prices of last May tumbled unexpectedly fast to under $US100 a tonne, and currently iron ore is taking the pundits again by surprise with a new run that now has it back near $US150/t. The sentiment is apparently still driven by signals about increased infrastructure spending in China and upgraded price forecasts. Nevertheless, and apart from the price of the commodity itself, it is very important that we still see the good fundamentals and dynamics there, which in any case support our overall optimism and hopes that better and more stable freight rates for Capes must be around the corner.
Looking at Australian iron ore exports to China, it is positive to see they remained robust last month despite the backdrop of rising market prices due to multiple factors including weather disruption and labor “shortage” concerns. Industry analysts said the proportion of Australian iron ore in China’s total iron ore imports may be reduced to below 60 percent in 2022 for the first time since 2015, especially as China is still diversifying its sources of supplies and deepening industry upgrading while pursuing low-carbon targets at the same time.
The price of iron ore was also reflected in the rising imports in China in recent weeks, and perhaps it is more important to keep an eye on inventory levels as well. According to data from industry sources, the total inventory of iron ore imported by steel mills across China reached about 117.57 million tons this week, an increase of 470,200 tons from the previous month. Of course it is always possible that the price increase could simply and perhaps only be related to seasonal speculation itself.
Overall since 2015, China’s iron ore imports from Australia and Brazil have accounted for nearly 80 percent of all imports, of which imports from Australia have exceeded 60 percent. Bilateral relations have soured again recently due to Australia’s attitude toward China, which has caused disruption for trade activities. Iron ore exports are still among the few remaining products that are still in high demand in China, partly due to the needs of the domestic construction sector. However, the expectation is that import proportion from Australia in 2022 is likely to drop below 60 percent, having been 61.6 percent in 2021 and 62.5 percent in 2020. We also hear a lot about the change in policy and the potential domestic supply of iron ore in China, not sure however if all this is something that will really re-shape the market dynamics in the future.
By Christopher Whitty,
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 01 July 21
END TO COAL POWER BROUGHT FORWARD TO OCTOBER 2024
Press Release: The deadline to phase out coal from Great Britain's energy system has been brought forward by a whole year, highlighting the UK& ...
Thursday, 01 July 21
WHY BUILD 600 NEW UNPROFITABLE COAL PLANTS? - DEUTSCHE WELLE
Governments in Asia are planning 600 new coal plants that could lose investors $150 billion and derail efforts to limit temperature rise in line wi ...
Thursday, 01 July 21
FIVE ASIAN COUNTRIES ACCOUNT FOR 80% OF NEW COAL POWER INVESTMENT - THE GUARDIAN
Five Asian countries are jeopardising global climate ambitions by investing in 80% of the world’s planned new coal plants, according to a rep ...
Wednesday, 30 June 21
DELTA DUNIA MAKMUR RECORDED AN IMPROVED REVENUE IN Q1 2021; REVENUE INCREASED BY 49% QOQ TO US$160 MILLION ON THE BACK OF COAL PRICE RECOVERY
PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. (“DOID”) released its consolidated financial and operating results that include its primary and wholly-owned ...
Wednesday, 30 June 21
BUMA SIGNED MINING AGREEMENT WITH ADARO
PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. announced that its subsidiary, PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama ("BUMA"), has entered into an agreement for the p ...
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The University of Queensland
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
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