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Wednesday, 09 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Iron ore prices have jumped significantly in the week prior to the Chinese New Year with traders and producers stocking up on raw materials. China’s stronger-than-expected steel production, combined with an aggressive restocking of inventory levels and the country’s ports had driven iron ore prices well above expectations.
Iron ore stocks have also spiked as analysts upgrade their price forecasts for the commodity on the back of another unexpected recovery. The record prices of last May tumbled unexpectedly fast to under $US100 a tonne, and currently iron ore is taking the pundits again by surprise with a new run that now has it back near $US150/t. The sentiment is apparently still driven by signals about increased infrastructure spending in China and upgraded price forecasts. Nevertheless, and apart from the price of the commodity itself, it is very important that we still see the good fundamentals and dynamics there, which in any case support our overall optimism and hopes that better and more stable freight rates for Capes must be around the corner.
Looking at Australian iron ore exports to China, it is positive to see they remained robust last month despite the backdrop of rising market prices due to multiple factors including weather disruption and labor “shortage” concerns. Industry analysts said the proportion of Australian iron ore in China’s total iron ore imports may be reduced to below 60 percent in 2022 for the first time since 2015, especially as China is still diversifying its sources of supplies and deepening industry upgrading while pursuing low-carbon targets at the same time.
The price of iron ore was also reflected in the rising imports in China in recent weeks, and perhaps it is more important to keep an eye on inventory levels as well. According to data from industry sources, the total inventory of iron ore imported by steel mills across China reached about 117.57 million tons this week, an increase of 470,200 tons from the previous month. Of course it is always possible that the price increase could simply and perhaps only be related to seasonal speculation itself.
Overall since 2015, China’s iron ore imports from Australia and Brazil have accounted for nearly 80 percent of all imports, of which imports from Australia have exceeded 60 percent. Bilateral relations have soured again recently due to Australia’s attitude toward China, which has caused disruption for trade activities. Iron ore exports are still among the few remaining products that are still in high demand in China, partly due to the needs of the domestic construction sector. However, the expectation is that import proportion from Australia in 2022 is likely to drop below 60 percent, having been 61.6 percent in 2021 and 62.5 percent in 2020. We also hear a lot about the change in policy and the potential domestic supply of iron ore in China, not sure however if all this is something that will really re-shape the market dynamics in the future.
By Christopher Whitty,
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 15 July 21
U.S. FOSSIL FUEL CONSUMPTION FELL BY 9% IN 2020, THE LOWEST LEVEL IN NEARLY 30 YEARS - EIA
U.S. fossil fuel consumption fell by 9% in 2020, the lowest level in nearly 30 years
In 2020, total consumption of fossil fuels in t ...
Thursday, 15 July 21
IN 2020, U.S. COAL PRODUCTION FELL TO ITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE 1965 - EIA
U.S. coal production totaled 535 million short tons (MMst) in 2020, a 24% decrease from the 706 MMst mined in 2019 and the lowest level of coal pro ...
Wednesday, 14 July 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
In its latest Global Economic Prospects report, the world bank recorded the strongest post-recession global growth in 80 years, but emerging and de ...
Tuesday, 13 July 21
JAPAN STILL SEEKING TO EXPLOIT COAL POWER LOOPHOLES - IEEFA
JBIC wants to continue burdening developing nations with its expensive coal-fired power technology
Japan is continuing to push its expensive c ...
Sunday, 11 July 21
COAL SHOWS ITS STAYING POWER AS ECONOMIES BOUNCE BACK - THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
Coal use is surging in some of the world’s largest economies as electricity demand rebounds from the pandemic, illustrating the challenges to ...
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- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- MS Steel International - UAE
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- VISA Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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- Planning Commission, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Coal Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
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