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Wednesday, 01 December 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Essentially, anyone involved in the shipping and commodity markets still struggle with commodity supply issues and skyrocketing prices in the context of a strained global supply chain.
This year, labor constraints, supply disruptions as well as high fertilizers costs led to a tight supply of edible oils, with palm oil particularly seeing its price pushed to record high levels two weeks ago, before softening during the current one amid negative cues from the emergence of the new COVID variant spurring volatility across commodities.
A great shortage of plantation workers who have been unable to re-enter the country due to pandemic related issues in Malaysia has lowered palm oil production estimates for 2021 to 18.3 million tons, down from 19.2 million tons in 2020, while although Indonesia’s palm oil output has been relatively flat y-o-y, its exports are expected to halve this year according to the Indonesia Palm Oil Association, due to heavy export levies.
While the Malaysian government, plans a special approval to bring about 30,000 workers back vs a shortage of 70,000 estimated at the beginning of the year by the Malaysian Palm Oil Association, efforts to bring them back will take a while before they reach plantations and start harvesting. A plan which might now be prolonged in the hearing and speculation around omicron variant, the last prompting buyers to begin stockpiling palm oil again.
Palm oil futures in Busra Malaysia have reached back-to-back record highs during the past year, setting the highest on November 18 at MYR (Malaysian Ringgit) 5,446/mt or $1,292.88 ( DEC 21). Industry analysts expect that from March 2022 onwards, production issues in edible oils will ease and post a steep rise after 2 years of supply disruptions. Naturally, a correction on prices is anticipated, however, it is also believed that we have entered a new era of higher price levels that are here to stay.
As far as the freight market is concerned rates for regional voyages to India and China have been moving sideways during the past weeks. On the other hand, FOSFA tonnage, especially on the westbound MR size TC Trip runs enjoyed a good premium, before correcting during mid Nov when the CPP Markets in the FEAST stagnated.
Representative freight rates loading palms oils from South East Asia to:
E.C. India 12-15,000 mtons at 33.00 usd/pmt
W.C. India/Pakistan 12-15,000 mtons at 35.00-37.00 usd/pmt
Mid China 12-15,000 mtons at 35.00 usd/pmt
Rotterdam 40-42,000 mtons at 49-51 usd/pmt
T/C Del Korea-Re-del Cont. 47-51,000 DWT 15,000/16,000 USD/PD (NON ECO ) +2K FOR ECO
Looking forward, there is no sight of supply and prices easing materially until post Q1 of 2022, while inventories will be scarce for the first half of next year. Finally, freight markets are likely to head north alongside a highly anticipated CPP seasonal market recovery during Q1 2022. Hopefully, this time will be more than seasonal, if at all.
By Stelios Kollintzas,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Friday, 22 October 21
HARD COAL REMAINS AN IMPORTANT FACTOR FOR SECURITY OF SUPPLY - COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION, GERMANY
- Hard coal remains an important factor for security of supply
- Increase of around 35% in hard-coal-fired power generation in the first three ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
CHINA'S COAL SHORTAGE TO EASE IN COMING MONTHS, INDUSTRY BODY SAYS - REUTERS
China’s coal shortage will likely ease in coming months, with domestic production and imports already showing signs of picking up, a coal ind ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
CHINA'S RAW COAL OUTPUT DROPS IN SEPTEMBER - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output dropped 0.9 percent year on year to 330 million tonnes last month, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
OVER-RELIANCE ON COAL IN OUR POWER MIX HURTING INDIA - LIVEMINT
In spite of the renewables push, coal still accounts for about 50% of India’s installed power capacity. That means a simultaneous demand and ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
CHINA COAL HITS RECORD HIGH AMID TIGHT SUPPLIES - REUTERS
China coal prices hit a record high on Tuesday buoyed by a widening power crunch and cold weather despite Beijing’s efforts to bolster supply ...
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- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
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