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Wednesday, 01 December 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Essentially, anyone involved in the shipping and commodity markets still struggle with commodity supply issues and skyrocketing prices in the context of a strained global supply chain.
This year, labor constraints, supply disruptions as well as high fertilizers costs led to a tight supply of edible oils, with palm oil particularly seeing its price pushed to record high levels two weeks ago, before softening during the current one amid negative cues from the emergence of the new COVID variant spurring volatility across commodities.
A great shortage of plantation workers who have been unable to re-enter the country due to pandemic related issues in Malaysia has lowered palm oil production estimates for 2021 to 18.3 million tons, down from 19.2 million tons in 2020, while although Indonesia’s palm oil output has been relatively flat y-o-y, its exports are expected to halve this year according to the Indonesia Palm Oil Association, due to heavy export levies.
While the Malaysian government, plans a special approval to bring about 30,000 workers back vs a shortage of 70,000 estimated at the beginning of the year by the Malaysian Palm Oil Association, efforts to bring them back will take a while before they reach plantations and start harvesting. A plan which might now be prolonged in the hearing and speculation around omicron variant, the last prompting buyers to begin stockpiling palm oil again.
Palm oil futures in Busra Malaysia have reached back-to-back record highs during the past year, setting the highest on November 18 at MYR (Malaysian Ringgit) 5,446/mt or $1,292.88 ( DEC 21). Industry analysts expect that from March 2022 onwards, production issues in edible oils will ease and post a steep rise after 2 years of supply disruptions. Naturally, a correction on prices is anticipated, however, it is also believed that we have entered a new era of higher price levels that are here to stay.
As far as the freight market is concerned rates for regional voyages to India and China have been moving sideways during the past weeks. On the other hand, FOSFA tonnage, especially on the westbound MR size TC Trip runs enjoyed a good premium, before correcting during mid Nov when the CPP Markets in the FEAST stagnated.
Representative freight rates loading palms oils from South East Asia to:
E.C. India 12-15,000 mtons at 33.00 usd/pmt
W.C. India/Pakistan 12-15,000 mtons at 35.00-37.00 usd/pmt
Mid China 12-15,000 mtons at 35.00 usd/pmt
Rotterdam 40-42,000 mtons at 49-51 usd/pmt
T/C Del Korea-Re-del Cont. 47-51,000 DWT 15,000/16,000 USD/PD (NON ECO ) +2K FOR ECO
Looking forward, there is no sight of supply and prices easing materially until post Q1 of 2022, while inventories will be scarce for the first half of next year. Finally, freight markets are likely to head north alongside a highly anticipated CPP seasonal market recovery during Q1 2022. Hopefully, this time will be more than seasonal, if at all.
By Stelios Kollintzas,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 01 December 21
SUPPLY OF COAL TO POWER PLANTS IN NOV MORE THAN CONSUMPTION: JOSHI - PTI
The supply of coal to power plants in November is more than the consumption, resulting in rise in stock of dry fuel at power plants, and this trend ...
Tuesday, 30 November 21
CHINA'S TOP ECONOMIC PLANNER SUMMONS COAL PRODUCERS; LONG-TERM PRICING MECHANISM IS ADVISED - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said on Monday that they summoned coal producers for a hea ...
Tuesday, 30 November 21
CHINA'S COAL PRICES PLUNGE AFTER GOVT SIGNALS MORE PRICE REGULATION - REUTERS
China’s thermal coal futures dropped 5.6% on Monday after the state economic planner signaled further regulations for prices of the dirty pow ...
Friday, 26 November 21
AS COAL MARKET STABILIZES, CHINA STEPS UP NATURAL GAS SUPPLY TO MEET WINTER DEMAND - GLOBAL TIMES
The daily supply of natural gas in China has exceeded 1 billion cubic meters (bcm) since November began, up 11 percent year-on-year, data from stat ...
Friday, 26 November 21
CHINA FINDS COMPLIANCE PROBLEMS IN COAL PRICE INDEX PROBE - REUTERS
China’s state planner on Wednesday said it had discovered some “noncompliant” behaviour among coal price index providers as it an ...
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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