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Wednesday, 01 December 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Essentially, anyone involved in the shipping and commodity markets still struggle with commodity supply issues and skyrocketing prices in the context of a strained global supply chain.
This year, labor constraints, supply disruptions as well as high fertilizers costs led to a tight supply of edible oils, with palm oil particularly seeing its price pushed to record high levels two weeks ago, before softening during the current one amid negative cues from the emergence of the new COVID variant spurring volatility across commodities.
A great shortage of plantation workers who have been unable to re-enter the country due to pandemic related issues in Malaysia has lowered palm oil production estimates for 2021 to 18.3 million tons, down from 19.2 million tons in 2020, while although Indonesia’s palm oil output has been relatively flat y-o-y, its exports are expected to halve this year according to the Indonesia Palm Oil Association, due to heavy export levies.
While the Malaysian government, plans a special approval to bring about 30,000 workers back vs a shortage of 70,000 estimated at the beginning of the year by the Malaysian Palm Oil Association, efforts to bring them back will take a while before they reach plantations and start harvesting. A plan which might now be prolonged in the hearing and speculation around omicron variant, the last prompting buyers to begin stockpiling palm oil again.
Palm oil futures in Busra Malaysia have reached back-to-back record highs during the past year, setting the highest on November 18 at MYR (Malaysian Ringgit) 5,446/mt or $1,292.88 ( DEC 21). Industry analysts expect that from March 2022 onwards, production issues in edible oils will ease and post a steep rise after 2 years of supply disruptions. Naturally, a correction on prices is anticipated, however, it is also believed that we have entered a new era of higher price levels that are here to stay.
As far as the freight market is concerned rates for regional voyages to India and China have been moving sideways during the past weeks. On the other hand, FOSFA tonnage, especially on the westbound MR size TC Trip runs enjoyed a good premium, before correcting during mid Nov when the CPP Markets in the FEAST stagnated.
Representative freight rates loading palms oils from South East Asia to:
E.C. India 12-15,000 mtons at 33.00 usd/pmt
W.C. India/Pakistan 12-15,000 mtons at 35.00-37.00 usd/pmt
Mid China 12-15,000 mtons at 35.00 usd/pmt
Rotterdam 40-42,000 mtons at 49-51 usd/pmt
T/C Del Korea-Re-del Cont. 47-51,000 DWT 15,000/16,000 USD/PD (NON ECO ) +2K FOR ECO
Looking forward, there is no sight of supply and prices easing materially until post Q1 of 2022, while inventories will be scarce for the first half of next year. Finally, freight markets are likely to head north alongside a highly anticipated CPP seasonal market recovery during Q1 2022. Hopefully, this time will be more than seasonal, if at all.
By Stelios Kollintzas,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 26 April 22
CHINA'S APPETITE FOR BAUXITE HITS NEW RECORD AS Q1 IMPORTS JUMP 15.4% Y/Y - BIMCO
Bauxite shipments arriving in China hit new record levels in the first quarter of 2022 and grew at an average annual rate of 12.8% between 2017 and ...
Tuesday, 26 April 22
INDIA'S COAL IMPORTS ARE SHIFTING, THERMAL MORE THAN COKING - REUTERS
India’s coal imports are starting to reflect shifting world trade and pricing dynamics in the wake of Russia’s invasion of neighbouring ...
Monday, 18 April 22
GERMAN COAL IMPORTERS EXPECT A BRIEF SPIKE IN PRICES ON EU BAN - REUTERS
A European Union embargo on Russian coal imports will push up prices in the short term before alternative supplies become available to steady the c ...
Monday, 18 April 22
FINNISH 'LOOPHOLES' ALLOW IMPORTS OF RUSSIAN COAL AND OIL TO CONTINUE - EURONEWS
Activists in Finland are calling for the government to clamp down faster on state-owned companies that continue to import raw materials from Russia ...
Monday, 18 April 22
GOVT IN DISCUSSION WITH WORLD BANK ON FRAMEWORK FOR COAL MINE CLOSURE - BUSINESS STANDARD
The coal ministry is in discussions with the World Bank for collaboration on the mine closure framework, a government official said on Wednesday.
...
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The University of Queensland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PTC India Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
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