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Wednesday, 01 December 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Essentially, anyone involved in the shipping and commodity markets still struggle with commodity supply issues and skyrocketing prices in the context of a strained global supply chain.
This year, labor constraints, supply disruptions as well as high fertilizers costs led to a tight supply of edible oils, with palm oil particularly seeing its price pushed to record high levels two weeks ago, before softening during the current one amid negative cues from the emergence of the new COVID variant spurring volatility across commodities.
A great shortage of plantation workers who have been unable to re-enter the country due to pandemic related issues in Malaysia has lowered palm oil production estimates for 2021 to 18.3 million tons, down from 19.2 million tons in 2020, while although Indonesia’s palm oil output has been relatively flat y-o-y, its exports are expected to halve this year according to the Indonesia Palm Oil Association, due to heavy export levies.
While the Malaysian government, plans a special approval to bring about 30,000 workers back vs a shortage of 70,000 estimated at the beginning of the year by the Malaysian Palm Oil Association, efforts to bring them back will take a while before they reach plantations and start harvesting. A plan which might now be prolonged in the hearing and speculation around omicron variant, the last prompting buyers to begin stockpiling palm oil again.
Palm oil futures in Busra Malaysia have reached back-to-back record highs during the past year, setting the highest on November 18 at MYR (Malaysian Ringgit) 5,446/mt or $1,292.88 ( DEC 21). Industry analysts expect that from March 2022 onwards, production issues in edible oils will ease and post a steep rise after 2 years of supply disruptions. Naturally, a correction on prices is anticipated, however, it is also believed that we have entered a new era of higher price levels that are here to stay.
As far as the freight market is concerned rates for regional voyages to India and China have been moving sideways during the past weeks. On the other hand, FOSFA tonnage, especially on the westbound MR size TC Trip runs enjoyed a good premium, before correcting during mid Nov when the CPP Markets in the FEAST stagnated.
Representative freight rates loading palms oils from South East Asia to:
E.C. India 12-15,000 mtons at 33.00 usd/pmt
W.C. India/Pakistan 12-15,000 mtons at 35.00-37.00 usd/pmt
Mid China 12-15,000 mtons at 35.00 usd/pmt
Rotterdam 40-42,000 mtons at 49-51 usd/pmt
T/C Del Korea-Re-del Cont. 47-51,000 DWT 15,000/16,000 USD/PD (NON ECO ) +2K FOR ECO
Looking forward, there is no sight of supply and prices easing materially until post Q1 of 2022, while inventories will be scarce for the first half of next year. Finally, freight markets are likely to head north alongside a highly anticipated CPP seasonal market recovery during Q1 2022. Hopefully, this time will be more than seasonal, if at all.
By Stelios Kollintzas,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Sunday, 21 August 22
COAL-RICH POLAND FACES WINTER OF ENERGY DISCONTENT - DW
Poland uses 10 million tons of coal a year to heat households — a whopping 87% of all coal consumed in EU homes in 2019, according to the War ...
Saturday, 20 August 22
KOSPO TO IMPORT 240000 MT OF MIN 4400 KCAL/KG NCV STEAM COAL FOR OCTOBER;LOADING FROM RUSSIAN PORTS NOT ALLOWED
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO) has issued an International tender for 240,000 MT of min 4,400kcal/kg to max. 4,999 kcal/kg NC ...
Wednesday, 17 August 22
INDIAN COMPANIES SWAPPING DOLLAR FOR ASIAN CURRENCIES TO BUY RUSSIAN COAL - REUTERS
Indian companies are using Asian currencies more often to pay for Russian coal imports, according to customs documents and industry sources, avoidi ...
Wednesday, 17 August 22
LNG: MAJOR INVESTMENT AND EXPANSION PHASE, DOUBLING OF LIQUEFACTION CAPACITY BY 2028 PROJECTED - CLARKSONS
Clarksons Research have released the latest version of their long standing annual review, LNG Trade & Transport, on to Shipping Intelligence Ne ...
Wednesday, 17 August 22
UNAFFORDABLE LNG PRICES UNDERMINE RAPID DEMAND GROWTH FORECASTS IN KEY ASIAN MARKETS - IEEFA
Sustained high prices may accelerate downward pressures on Asian LNG demand, clouding long-term industry outlooks
The global liquefi ...
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
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